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Venusaur Promo

Simulated

Venusaur Promo · Base Set · Promo · 76/102

Character: Venusaur

high confidenceneutral5030d 2.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$260
Lowest listing $21915.8% below
Bear Case
$217
Base Case
$260
Bull Case
$303

Price History

Dec 2Range $269 – $425May 30

Opportunity Score

43
  • 16% below fair value+18 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral50

Venusaur Promo is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-2.7%). Estimated fair value is $260 against a lowest active listing of $219. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
8.0
Velocity Score
40/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-9.6%
Confidence
88/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps277.7650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices249.225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection255.3425%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.9320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$300eBayNear Mint6911d agoJan 1View
$304eBayNear Mint756d agoJan 1View
$305eBayNear Mint7720d agoJan 1View
$317PWCCNear Mint6323h agoJan 1View
$334TCGPlayerNear Mint7410d agoJan 1View
$335Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint797d agoJun 1View
$336TCGPlayerNear Mint8218d agoJan 1View
$339eBayNear Mint9512d agoJan 1View
$347eBayNear Mint769d agoJan 1View
$358Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7021d agoJun 1View
$359eBayNear Mint8217d agoJan 1View
$359eBayNear Mint6120d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$403MercariNear Mint11d ago
$422Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint13d ago
$391MercariNear Mint14d ago
$398Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint15d ago
$375TCGPlayerNear Mint20d ago
$375Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint28d ago
$332Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint29d ago
$319MercariNear Mint32d ago
$336eBayNear Mint49d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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