Electrike
BGS 10SimulatedElectrike · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Uncommon · 30
Character: Electrike
Price History
Opportunity Score
57- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Price up 40% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- Low active inventory+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- 5% below fair value+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- Strong demand (17 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish98Electrike (BGS 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+39.5%). Estimated fair value is $48 against a lowest active listing of $46. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+39.5% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growing 4.2%/mo — steady supply across 6680 graded.
6,680 graded · 41% gem · +4.2%/mo
- Raw cost
- $45.58
- All-in cost
- $74.58+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $47.84
- Expected proceeds
- $12.4930% gem → $14.35 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$62.09
- Breakeven graded value
- $286value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of BGS 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.6dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 55.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -14.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 9active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $239mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $203cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $203
- Median
- $235
- Mean
- $233
- Max
- $260
Showing 16 of 17 sales · 1 outlier trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 42.61 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 54.08 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 46.74 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.23 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.61 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $203 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 72 | 75d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $210 | eBay | Graded | 86 | 72d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $217 | eBay | Graded | 90 | 67d ago | Jun 9 | View |
| $226 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 88 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $229 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 90 | 62d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $231 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 79 | 59d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $242 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 85 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $260 | Mercari | Graded | 68 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $264 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $241 | Mercari | Graded | 65d ago |
| $256 | Mercari | Graded | 68d ago |
| $238 | eBay | Graded | 74d ago |
| $225 | Mercari | Graded | 77d ago |
| $235 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 81d ago |
| $244 | Mercari | Graded | 83d ago |
| $240 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 84d ago |
| $213 | Mercari | Graded | 86d ago |
| $260 | Mercari | Graded | 87d ago |
| $225 | PWCC | Graded | 87d ago |
| $247 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 87d ago |
| $231 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 95d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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