Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)
SimulatedUmbreon ex (Illustration Rare) · XY Evolutions · Illustration Rare · 80/108
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
56- 12% below fair value+15 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- Price up 23% over 30 days+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (17 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish98Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+22.8%). Estimated fair value is $718 against a lowest active listing of $629. Valuation confidence is high based on 18-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+22.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 655.94 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 720.75 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 709.33 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.73 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $649 | PWCC | Near Mint | 66 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $649 | Mercari | Near Mint | 92 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $699 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 97 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $716 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 98 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $716 | Mercari | Near Mint | 92 | 3d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $717 | Mercari | Near Mint | 80 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $731 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 64 | 23h ago | May 31 | View |
| $742 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 79 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $749 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 73 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $751 | PWCC | Near Mint | 78 | 23h ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $755 | eBay | Near Mint | 98 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $766 | PWCC | Near Mint | 66 | 3d ago | May 31 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $746 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $732 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $791 | Mercari | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $786 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $734 | PWCC | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $683 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $772 | eBay | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $675 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $674 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $691 | PWCC | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $740 | eBay | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $692 | eBay | Near Mint | 25d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $683 | $604 | 11.6% | 0.6% | 5 | 38 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $331 | $296 | 10.6% | 10.7% | 3 | 50 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,592 | $1,469 | 7.7% | 4.6% | 19 | 38 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $249 | $197 | 20.9% | 16.2% | 22 | 49 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $519 | $466 | 10.3% | 1.8% | 14 | 49 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $398 | $352 | 11.6% | 5.6% | 11 | 37 |