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Simisear V — Crown Zenith — Rare Holo V

Simisear V

Simulated

Simisear V · Crown Zenith · Rare Holo V · 22

Character: Simisear

high confidenceneutral4730d 6.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$31.28
Lowest listing $26.6914.7% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$26.86
Base Case
$31.28
Bull Case
$35.61

Price History

Dec 8Range $50.18 – $77.84Jun 5

Opportunity Score

49
  • 15% below fair value+17 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral47

Simisear V is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-6.8%). Estimated fair value is $31 against a lowest active listing of $27. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-6.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
17
Sales / Month
15.5
Velocity Score
78/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+18.0%
Confidence
97/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-50.0%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$26.69
All-in cost
$55.69+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$107
Expected proceeds
$27.8630% gem → $32.03 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.83
Breakeven graded value
$213value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.4dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
60.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-6.1%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
10active listings
Recent sold avg
$64.85mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$60.92cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$53.46
Median
$60.16
Mean
$62.02
Max
$74.19

Showing 23 of 23 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps30.1950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices30.6525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection29.7225%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.6120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$60.92TCGPlayerNear Mint9755d agoJan 1View
$61.13Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6356d agoJan 1View
$64.81Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6071d agoJan 1View
$65.56Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8474d agoJun 8View
$66.65MercariNear Mint8765d agoJan 1View
$67.39MercariNear Mint9771d agoJan 1View
$68.17Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9955d agoJan 1View
$69.40Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6663d agoJan 1View
$73.20PWCCNear Mint7656d agoJan 1View
$75.24Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6061d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$73.35eBayNear Mint58d ago
$60.93PWCCNear Mint59d ago
$71.09Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint60d ago
$74.19PWCCNear Mint61d ago
$69.01Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint62d ago
$68.88Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint64d ago
$63.21PWCCNear Mint72d ago
$68.79eBayNear Mint72d ago
$65.50PWCCNear Mint74d ago
$63.71PWCCNear Mint76d ago
$61.25MercariNear Mint77d ago
$58.11MercariNear Mint81d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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