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Gyarados ex (Special Illustration)

BGS 9Simulated

Gyarados ex (Special Illustration) · Jungle · Special Illustration Rare · 54/64

Character: Gyarados

high confidencebullish8730d 12.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,017
Lowest listing $91210.3% below
Bear Case
$852
Base Case
$1,017
Bull Case
$1,188

Price History

Dec 2Range $521$986May 30

Opportunity Score

54
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Price up 13% over 30 days+5 pts
  • Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish87

Gyarados ex (Special Illustration) (BGS 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+12.7%). Estimated fair value is $1017 against a lowest active listing of $912. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+12.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
9
Sales / Month
11.5
Velocity Score
57/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+16.8%
Total Graded
3,667
Gem Mint
949
Population Growth
-0.9%
Stable supply

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps918.450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1016.2325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1064.5825%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)0.4450%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.3620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$647MercariGraded7114d agoJan 1View
$665TCGPlayerGraded6215d agoJan 1View
$693Facebook MarketplaceGraded9117d agoMay 31View
$702PWCCGraded764d agoMay 31View
$719Facebook MarketplaceGraded717d agoJan 1View
$762TCGPlayerGraded726d agoJan 1View
$770PWCCGraded6818d agoJan 1View
$776PWCCGraded8120d agoMay 31View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$696PWCCGraded2d ago
$709PWCCGraded2d ago
$619Facebook MarketplaceGraded4d ago
$576MercariGraded8d ago
$545eBayGraded9d ago
$660PWCCGraded11d ago
$646MercariGraded12d ago
$589MercariGraded13d ago
$573Facebook MarketplaceGraded14d ago
$495eBayGraded16d ago
$494Facebook MarketplaceGraded16d ago
$484TCGPlayerGraded16d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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