Price History
Opportunity Score
54- 10% below fair value+12 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Sales accelerating+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Price up 13% over 30 days+5 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish87Gyarados ex (Special Illustration) (BGS 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+12.7%). Estimated fair value is $1017 against a lowest active listing of $912. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+12.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 918.4 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1016.23 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1064.58 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.44 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.36 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $647 | Mercari | Graded | 71 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $665 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 62 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $693 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 91 | 17d ago | May 31 | View |
| $702 | PWCC | Graded | 76 | 4d ago | May 31 | View |
| $719 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $762 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 72 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $770 | PWCC | Graded | 68 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $776 | PWCC | Graded | 81 | 20d ago | May 31 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $696 | PWCC | Graded | 2d ago |
| $709 | PWCC | Graded | 2d ago |
| $619 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 4d ago |
| $576 | Mercari | Graded | 8d ago |
| $545 | eBay | Graded | 9d ago |
| $660 | PWCC | Graded | 11d ago |
| $646 | Mercari | Graded | 12d ago |
| $589 | Mercari | Graded | 13d ago |
| $573 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 14d ago |
| $495 | eBay | Graded | 16d ago |
| $494 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 16d ago |
| $484 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 16d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon Holo RareJungleSimulated
| $936 | $827 | 11.6% | 0.8% | 2 | 43 |
Umbreon Secret RareJungleBGS 10Simulated
| $4,440 | $4,103 | 7.6% | 12.1% | 11 | 34 |
Rayquaza V (Full Art)JungleSimulated
| $814 | $791 | 2.8% | 17.3% | 2 | 43 |
Lugia Ultra RareJungleSimulated
| $850 | $790 | 7.0% | 22.8% | 3 | 41 |
Mew Ultra RareJungleSimulated
| $798 | $660 | 17.3% | 4.5% | 17 | 53 |
Mew V (Full Art)JungleBGS 9Simulated
| $785 | $746 | 5.0% | 13.1% | 2 | 32 |