Espeon ex (Special Illustration)
SimulatedEspeon ex (Special Illustration) · Prismatic Evolutions · Special Illustration Rare · 43/180
Character: Espeon
Price History
Opportunity Score
51- 15% below fair value+17 pts
- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Low active inventory+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish23Espeon ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-16.7%). Estimated fair value is $387 against a lowest active listing of $330. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-16.7% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 365.96 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 376.72 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 359.64 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.39 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $277 | PWCC | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $312 | Mercari | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $316 | Mercari | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $377 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $349 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $338 | PWCC | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $421 | PWCC | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $424 | eBay | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $399 | eBay | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $413 | PWCC | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $442 | eBay | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $401 | PWCC | Near Mint | 25d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
| $612 | $555 | 9.3% | 15.6% | 2 | 47 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
| $444 | $412 | 7.3% | 4.4% | 18 | 32 |
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $426 | $421 | 1.1% | 5.3% | 12 | 28 |
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
| $559 | $490 | 12.5% | 3.5% | 7 | 37 |
Espeon Holo RareFossilSimulated
| $465 | $434 | 6.7% | 2.0% | 12 | 28 |
Mewtwo ex (Illustration Rare)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
| $281 | $256 | 8.9% | 3.9% | 11 | 38 |