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Gyarados ex (Special Illustration)

BGS 9.5Simulated

Gyarados ex (Special Illustration) · Fossil · Special Illustration Rare · 35/62

Character: Gyarados

high confidencebullish6730d 6.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$862
Lowest listing $7868.9% below
Bear Case
$741
Base Case
$862
Bull Case
$984

Price History

Dec 2Range $675$1.2KMay 30

Opportunity Score

41
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • Strong demand (11 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
  • Low active inventory+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish67

Gyarados ex (Special Illustration) (BGS 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+6.7%). Estimated fair value is $862 against a lowest active listing of $786. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+6.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
8
Sales / Month
11.0
Velocity Score
55/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+12.2%
Total Graded
580
Gem Mint
268
Population Growth
+4.8%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps833.0750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices928.9125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection854.5625%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.450%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.4420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$713eBayGraded9615d agoJan 1View
$720eBayGraded6310d agoJan 1View
$746Facebook MarketplaceGraded7116d agoJan 1View
$772Facebook MarketplaceGraded7711d agoJan 1View
$773TCGPlayerGraded6413d agoJan 1View
$785TCGPlayerGraded10021d agoJan 1View
$797PWCCGraded7321d agoJan 1View
$808TCGPlayerGraded7315d agoMay 31View
$810Facebook MarketplaceGraded8319d agoJan 1View
$812Facebook MarketplaceGraded7514d agoJan 1View
$829PWCCGraded9021d agoJan 1View
$831PWCCGraded973d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$733TCGPlayerGraded2d ago
$770TCGPlayerGraded2d ago
$755PWCCGraded4d ago
$737TCGPlayerGraded10d ago
$742TCGPlayerGraded10d ago
$737TCGPlayerGraded11d ago
$758PWCCGraded11d ago
$771MercariGraded13d ago
$676PWCCGraded15d ago
$781MercariGraded16d ago
$766PWCCGraded18d ago
$876Facebook MarketplaceGraded20d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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