Price History
Opportunity Score
41- 9% below fair value+10 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- Strong demand (11 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
- Low active inventory+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish67Gyarados ex (Special Illustration) (BGS 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+6.7%). Estimated fair value is $862 against a lowest active listing of $786. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+6.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 833.07 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 928.91 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 854.56 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.4 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.44 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $713 | eBay | Graded | 96 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $720 | eBay | Graded | 63 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $746 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $772 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 77 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $773 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 64 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $785 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 100 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $797 | PWCC | Graded | 73 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $808 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 73 | 15d ago | May 31 | View |
| $810 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 83 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $812 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 75 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $829 | PWCC | Graded | 90 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $831 | PWCC | Graded | 97 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $733 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 2d ago |
| $770 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 2d ago |
| $755 | PWCC | Graded | 4d ago |
| $737 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 10d ago |
| $742 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 10d ago |
| $737 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 11d ago |
| $758 | PWCC | Graded | 11d ago |
| $771 | Mercari | Graded | 13d ago |
| $676 | PWCC | Graded | 15d ago |
| $781 | Mercari | Graded | 16d ago |
| $766 | PWCC | Graded | 18d ago |
| $876 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 20d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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