Blastoise Ultra Rare
PSA 9.5SimulatedBlastoise Ultra Rare · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Ultra Rare · 47/109
Character: Blastoise
Price History
Opportunity Score
45- 8% below fair value+9 pts
- Sales accelerating+8 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Low active inventory+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Population growth slowing+2 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish29Blastoise Ultra Rare (PSA 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-9.7%). Estimated fair value is $195 against a lowest active listing of $180. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-9.7% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 192.23 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 197.5 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 183.64 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.82 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.95 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $249 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 98 | 15d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $260 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 91 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $271 | Mercari | Graded | 64 | 14d ago | May 31 | View |
| $271 | PWCC | Graded | 73 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $303 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 73 | 3d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $311 | PWCC | Graded | 100 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $314 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 66 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $318 | eBay | Graded | 89 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $321 | eBay | Graded | 99 | 1d ago | Jun 4 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $282 | PWCC | Graded | 2d ago |
| $316 | PWCC | Graded | 4d ago |
| $259 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 10d ago |
| $277 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 12d ago |
| $248 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 13d ago |
| $274 | Mercari | Graded | 14d ago |
| $276 | Mercari | Graded | 14d ago |
| $262 | PWCC | Graded | 17d ago |
| $229 | eBay | Graded | 17d ago |
| $260 | PWCC | Graded | 17d ago |
| $230 | eBay | Graded | 18d ago |
| $279 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 20d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
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Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
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Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
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Lugia Ultra RareEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $275 | $230 | 16.3% | 7.2% | 8 | 52 |
Snorlax V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphirePSA 9.5Simulated
| $475 | $428 | 10.0% | 18.4% | 21 | 48 |