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Rayquaza Ultra Rare

Simulated

Rayquaza Ultra Rare · Fossil · Ultra Rare · 59/62

Character: Rayquaza

medium confidencebullish8730d 29.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,166
Lowest listing $1,1015.6% below
Bear Case
$1,010
Base Case
$1,166
Bull Case
$1,332

Price History

Dec 2Range $663 – $1.2KMay 30

Opportunity Score

40
  • Price up 29% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Low active inventory+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish87

Rayquaza Ultra Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+29.4%). Estimated fair value is $1166 against a lowest active listing of $1101. Valuation confidence is medium based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+29.4% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
8
Sales / Month
3.0
Velocity Score
15/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+12.9%
Confidence
58/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1059.7550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1250.1725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1178.7425%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.5820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$852Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint735d agoJan 1View
$864PWCCNear Mint695d agoJan 1View
$899PWCCNear Mint9614d agoJan 1View
$918eBayNear Mint8315d agoJan 1View
$919TCGPlayerNear Mint946d agoJan 1View
$921MercariNear Mint9217d agoJun 3View
$985MercariNear Mint629d agoJan 1View
$1,016Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint775d agoJan 1View
$1,019TCGPlayerNear Mint9321d agoJan 1View
$1,047Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9920d agoJan 1View
$1,061PWCCNear Mint9316d agoJan 1View
$1,063MercariNear Mint6119d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$1,024Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint1d ago
$952MercariNear Mint5d ago
$929TCGPlayerNear Mint10d ago
$877TCGPlayerNear Mint13d ago
$731Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint17d ago
$738eBayNear Mint19d ago
$745TCGPlayerNear Mint27d ago
$833PWCCNear Mint28d ago
$756PWCCNear Mint53d ago
$812TCGPlayerNear Mint54d ago
$833Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint59d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
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  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
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