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Haunter — XY Evolutions — Uncommon

Haunter

Simulated

Haunter · XY Evolutions · Uncommon · 48

Character: Haunter

high confidenceneutral4530d ▼7.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$37.20
Lowest listing $37.67
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$30.28
Base Case
$37.20
Bull Case
$43.81

Price History

Dec 8Range $70.36 – $143Jun 5

Opportunity Score

23
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral45

Haunter is currently fairly valued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-7.4%). Estimated fair value is $37 against a lowest active listing of $38. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-7.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
15
Sales / Month
14.5
Velocity Score
73/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-1.4%
Confidence
95/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-41.0%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$37.67
All-in cost
$66.67+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$151
Expected proceeds
$39.3330% gem → $45.20 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.34
Breakeven graded value
$255value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.3dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
58.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+7.2%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
13active listings
Recent sold avg
$96.95mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$104cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$72.16
Median
$92.52
Mean
$92.92
Max
$113

Showing 30 of 32 sales · 2 outliers trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps36.7350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices43.3625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection32.4125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.2920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$104Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7568d agoJan 1View
$110Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7463d agoJan 1View
$114eBayNear Mint8074d agoJan 1View
$114TCGPlayerNear Mint9772d agoJan 1View
$115eBayNear Mint6973d agoJan 1View
$116Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7966d agoJun 8View
$117MercariNear Mint7075d agoJan 1View
$120eBayNear Mint7462d agoJan 1View
$120Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7665d agoJun 9View
$121Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6665d agoJan 1View
$122eBayNear Mint7159d agoJan 1View
$122Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6971d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$110TCGPlayerNear Mint54d ago
$129PWCCNear Mint56d ago
$134Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint58d ago
$113Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint59d ago
$110PWCCNear Mint61d ago
$113eBayNear Mint61d ago
$95.96TCGPlayerNear Mint67d ago
$87.77PWCCNear Mint69d ago
$105PWCCNear Mint69d ago
$93.80Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint70d ago
$90.53Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint75d ago
$72.65PWCCNear Mint81d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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Same character or set.

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eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
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  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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