Price History
Opportunity Score
58- 18% below fair value+21 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
- Price up 6% over 30 days+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish72Venusaur Promo is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+5.8%). Estimated fair value is $345 against a lowest active listing of $282. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+5.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 329.4 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 327.12 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 329.2 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.9 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $340 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | just now |
| $358 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 9h ago |
| $348 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $369 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $352 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $312 | Mercari | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $326 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $347 | eBay | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $328 | Mercari | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $334 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $339 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $330 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 23d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $9,629 | $9,179 | 4.7% | 37.3% | 8 | 39 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
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Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $46,966 | $40,483 | 13.8% | 12.4% | 6 | 55 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $2,196 | $1,719 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 18 | 53 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $1,288 | $1,148 | 10.9% | 36.8% | 12 | 61 |
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $2,091 | $1,874 | 10.4% | 9.3% | 18 | 52 |