Gardevoir Promo
SimulatedGardevoir Promo · XY Evolutions · Promo · 28/108
Character: Gardevoir
Price History
Opportunity Score
45- 14% below fair value+16 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Low active inventory+5 pts
- Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
- Sales accelerating+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish28Gardevoir Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-14.5%). Estimated fair value is $164 against a lowest active listing of $141. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-14.5% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 168.92 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 162.58 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 149.63 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.02 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $142 | PWCC | Near Mint | 100 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $144 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 99 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $145 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68 | 18d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $146 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 97 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $146 | Mercari | Near Mint | 61 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $149 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 99 | 8d ago | May 31 | View |
| $150 | Mercari | Near Mint | 84 | 1d ago | May 31 | View |
| $151 | eBay | Near Mint | 84 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $152 | eBay | Near Mint | 69 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $153 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 73 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $156 | eBay | Near Mint | 61 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $159 | Mercari | Near Mint | 76 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $165 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $156 | eBay | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $143 | eBay | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $130 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $153 | eBay | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $147 | eBay | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $129 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $150 | Mercari | Near Mint | 33d ago |
| $161 | Mercari | Near Mint | 34d ago |
| $127 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 37d ago |
| $133 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 39d ago |
| $130 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 39d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $679 | $586 | 13.7% | 0.1% | 21 | 34 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $260 | $236 | 9.2% | 1.8% | 12 | 38 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $1,046 | $993 | 5.1% | 21.6% | 5 | 43 |
Charizard VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,038 | $886 | 14.7% | 8.5% | 21 | 37 |
Charizard ex (Special Illustration)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $590 | $563 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6 | 34 |
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsPSA 9.5Simulated
| $1,213 | $1,152 | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4 | 38 |