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Pyroar — Evolving Skies — Uncommon

Pyroar

Simulated

Pyroar · Evolving Skies · Uncommon · 23

Character: Pyroar

high confidencebullish6330d 3.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$28.71
Lowest listing $26.836.5% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$24.57
Base Case
$28.71
Bull Case
$32.83

Price History

Dec 8Range $38.04 – $70.30Jun 5

Opportunity Score

34
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts
  • Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish63

Pyroar is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.0%). Estimated fair value is $29 against a lowest active listing of $27. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
14
Sales / Month
8.0
Velocity Score
40/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+5.7%
Confidence
97/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-49.8%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$26.83
All-in cost
$55.83+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$107
Expected proceeds
$28.0130% gem → $32.20 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.82
Breakeven graded value
$214value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.6dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
57.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-11.2%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
9active listings
Recent sold avg
$52.44mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$46.58cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$50.05
Median
$52.20
Mean
$53.02
Max
$57.81

Showing 18 of 19 sales · 1 outlier trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps27.2450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices31.3325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection27.7225%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.1420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$46.58PWCCNear Mint8962d agoJun 9View
$47.45Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7970d agoJan 1View
$50.52TCGPlayerNear Mint6257d agoJan 1View
$54.27MercariNear Mint7661d agoJan 1View
$55.58TCGPlayerNear Mint9067d agoJan 1View
$57.95eBayNear Mint8867d agoJan 1View
$58.62PWCCNear Mint9975d agoJan 1View
$58.86Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7569d agoJan 1View
$61.74MercariNear Mint6362d agoJun 8View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$53.50eBayNear Mint54d ago
$55.12MercariNear Mint56d ago
$51.61eBayNear Mint57d ago
$56.88TCGPlayerNear Mint57d ago
$51.26eBayNear Mint60d ago
$51.22Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint62d ago
$50.05MercariNear Mint65d ago
$51.53PWCCNear Mint65d ago
$51.76PWCCNear Mint70d ago
$52.94TCGPlayerNear Mint72d ago
$51.84MercariNear Mint73d ago
$51.53TCGPlayerNear Mint80d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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