Greninja Ultra Rare
SimulatedGreninja Ultra Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Ultra Rare · 14/180
Character: Greninja
Price History
Opportunity Score
45- 8% below fair value+9 pts
- Price up 25% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish100Greninja Ultra Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+25.4%). Estimated fair value is $160 against a lowest active listing of $148. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+25.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 147.4 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 174.44 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 163.92 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.31 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $118 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 69 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $123 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 92 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $126 | eBay | Near Mint | 89 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $127 | Mercari | Near Mint | 68 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $128 | PWCC | Near Mint | 82 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $131 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 84 | 14d ago | May 31 | View |
| $132 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 74 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $139 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 69 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $147 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $122 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $143 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $142 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $147 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $142 | PWCC | Near Mint | 35d ago |
| $142 | Mercari | Near Mint | 36d ago |
| $155 | Mercari | Near Mint | 37d ago |
| $143 | eBay | Near Mint | 39d ago |
| $146 | Mercari | Near Mint | 43d ago |
| $132 | Mercari | Near Mint | 44d ago |
| $127 | Mercari | Near Mint | 58d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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