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Dec 2Range $293 – $461May 30
Estimated Fair Value
$350
Lowest listing $3286.2% below
Bear Case
$302
Base Case
$350
Bull Case
$399
Price History
Opportunity Score
48- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- 6% below fair value+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- Price up 16% over 30 days+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Low active inventory+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish88Gyarados Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+15.6%). Estimated fair value is $350 against a lowest active listing of $328. Valuation confidence is medium based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+15.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
5
Sales / Month
4.5
Velocity Score
23/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+27.4%
Confidence
63/100
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 316.43 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 361.94 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 332.53 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.49 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $294 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 66 | 15d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $298 | eBay | Near Mint | 65 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $307 | PWCC | Near Mint | 88 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $307 | Mercari | Near Mint | 87 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $314 | eBay | Near Mint | 91 | 10d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $320 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 75 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $323 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 71 | 8d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $333 | eBay | Near Mint | 81 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $344 | PWCC | Near Mint | 95 | 11d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $348 | PWCC | Near Mint | 69 | 19d ago | May 31 | View |
| $352 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 69 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $362 | eBay | Near Mint | 72 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $300 | PWCC | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $315 | eBay | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $304 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $349 | eBay | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $335 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $325 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $357 | eBay | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $324 | PWCC | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $301 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $290 | eBay | Near Mint | 24d ago |
| $340 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 42d ago |
| $327 | Mercari | Near Mint | 51d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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