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Eevee Ultra Rare card artwork

Eevee Ultra Rare

Simulated

Eevee Ultra Rare · HeartGold SoulSilver · Ultra Rare · 65/123

Character: Eevee

medium confidencebearish1830d ▼25.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$208
Lowest listing $17118.0% below
Bear Case
$163
Base Case
$208
Bull Case
$252

Price History

Dec 2Range $256 – $358May 30

Opportunity Score

49
  • 18% below fair value+21 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish18

Eevee Ultra Rare is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-25.4%). Estimated fair value is $208 against a lowest active listing of $171. Valuation confidence is medium based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-25.4% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
3.5
Velocity Score
18/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+16.9%
Confidence
53/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps216.2750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices192.6725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection180.8725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.3920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$248PWCCNear Mint9812d agoJan 1View
$250Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint10013d agoJun 4View
$252TCGPlayerNear Mint634d agoJan 1View
$253Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7518d agoJun 4View
$263eBayNear Mint814d agoJun 4View
$264PWCCNear Mint9110d agoJan 1View
$264MercariNear Mint9816d agoJan 1View
$271MercariNear Mint607d agoJan 1View
$275Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint664d agoJan 1View
$278MercariNear Mint667d agoJan 1View
$279Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint997d agoJan 1View
$290Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7920d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$299eBayNear Mint11d ago
$278TCGPlayerNear Mint28d ago
$326TCGPlayerNear Mint33d ago
$329MercariNear Mint37d ago
$307MercariNear Mint38d ago
$345TCGPlayerNear Mint54d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
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Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$409$35014.5%▼8.6%642
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$691$57616.7%▼15.8%1150
Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
$732$6866.3%▲8.1%938
Pikachu ex (Special Illustration)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 18% below fair value+21 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$687$56617.6%▼23.2%747
Gengar ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverBGS 10Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$658$56713.8%▼2.5%1438