Gardevoir Promo
SimulatedGardevoir Promo · Neo Genesis · Promo · 48/111
Character: Gardevoir
Price History
Opportunity Score
45- 14% below fair value+17 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish31Gardevoir Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-10.2%). Estimated fair value is $298 against a lowest active listing of $256. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-10.2% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 294.45 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 291.24 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 258.6 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.78 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $299 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $359 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $308 | eBay | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $355 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $349 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $342 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $368 | Mercari | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $410 | PWCC | Near Mint | 24d ago |
| $390 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $353 | eBay | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $362 | PWCC | Near Mint | 28d ago |
| $288 | PWCC | Near Mint | 32d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
| $1,338 | $1,004 | 24.9% | 33.1% | 3 | 58 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Neo GenesisSimulated
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Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,039 | $832 | 20.0% | 17.0% | 18 | 52 |
Rayquaza PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
| $583 | $480 | 17.7% | 11.5% | 11 | 47 |
Gardevoir ex (Special Illustration)Evolving SkiesCGC 10Simulated
| $625 | $600 | 3.9% | 7.2% | 14 | 37 |
Blastoise ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $500 | $450 | 10.0% | 19.8% | 23 | 43 |