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Raticate — Scarlet & Violet 151 — Uncommon

Raticate

Simulated

Raticate · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Uncommon · 20

Character: Raticate

high confidenceneutral5830d 1.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$44.41
Lowest listing $39.4311.2% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$36.26
Base Case
$44.41
Bull Case
$52.55

Price History

Dec 8Range $45.17 – $81.34Jun 5

Opportunity Score

36
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral58

Raticate is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.3%). Estimated fair value is $44 against a lowest active listing of $39. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
22
Sales / Month
15.0
Velocity Score
75/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-10.4%
Confidence
94/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-39.8%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$39.43
All-in cost
$68.43+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$158
Expected proceeds
$41.1630% gem → $47.32 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.27
Breakeven graded value
$262value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.6dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
25.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+0.7%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
18active listings
Recent sold avg
$68.54mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$68.99cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$58.05
Median
$66.16
Mean
$66.45
Max
$73.86

Showing 8 of 8 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps45.0650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices46.9925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection44.3425%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.0920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$68.99PWCCNear Mint7970d agoJan 1View
$70.13MercariNear Mint9674d agoJan 1View
$74.70Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9573d agoJun 7View
$76.30Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9957d agoJun 10View
$78.13eBayNear Mint6760d agoJan 1View
$79.13Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6562d agoJun 10View
$79.34TCGPlayerNear Mint7562d agoJan 1View
$79.77MercariNear Mint6557d agoJan 1View
$80.13TCGPlayerNear Mint9958d agoJan 1View
$80.48TCGPlayerNear Mint7360d agoJun 10View
$80.60PWCCNear Mint6560d agoJan 1View
$80.73Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9272d agoJun 7View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$73.86PWCCNear Mint54d ago
$68.85TCGPlayerNear Mint68d ago
$66.42eBayNear Mint84d ago
$72.37Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint86d ago
$65.90eBayNear Mint86d ago
$63.82eBayNear Mint88d ago
$58.05TCGPlayerNear Mint102d ago
$62.32TCGPlayerNear Mint113d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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