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Venusaur ex (Illustration Rare)

Simulated

Venusaur ex (Illustration Rare) · Evolving Skies · Illustration Rare · 81/237

Character: Venusaur

medium confidencebearish3030d 10.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$164
Lowest listing $14312.3% below
Bear Case
$136
Base Case
$164
Bull Case
$190

Price History

Dec 2Range $137 – $247May 30

Opportunity Score

32
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish30

Venusaur ex (Illustration Rare) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-10.5%). Estimated fair value is $164 against a lowest active listing of $143. Valuation confidence is medium based on 15-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-10.5% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
15
Sales / Month
3.5
Velocity Score
18/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
-11.1%
Confidence
64/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps175.0350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices163.2925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection155.7425%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.2220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$151PWCCNear Mint6911d agoJan 1View
$152Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6910d agoJan 1View
$155TCGPlayerNear Mint8911d agoJun 1View
$157eBayNear Mint933d agoJan 1View
$162PWCCNear Mint7514d agoJan 1View
$165PWCCNear Mint8214d agoJun 4View
$169MercariNear Mint798d agoJun 3View
$175Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9216d agoJun 4View
$175PWCCNear Mint889d agoMay 31View
$176MercariNear Mint732d agoJun 4View
$178eBayNear Mint9913d agoJan 1View
$179MercariNear Mint697d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$161MercariNear Mint13h ago
$171TCGPlayerNear Mint6d ago
$174Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8d ago
$171PWCCNear Mint12d ago
$176eBayNear Mint12d ago
$170Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint13d ago
$170MercariNear Mint14d ago
$169Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint18d ago
$168MercariNear Mint18d ago
$164PWCCNear Mint22d ago
$173TCGPlayerNear Mint24d ago
$184eBayNear Mint25d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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