Rayquaza ex (Special Illustration)
SimulatedRayquaza ex (Special Illustration) · Evolving Skies · Special Illustration Rare · 40/237
Character: Rayquaza
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- 9% below fair value+11 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Low active inventory+3 pts
- Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish76Rayquaza ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+6.6%). Estimated fair value is $381 against a lowest active listing of $347. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+6.6% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 374.21 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 388.13 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 421.11 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -2.09 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $322 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 74 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $325 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 69 | 8d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $331 | Mercari | Near Mint | 67 | 7d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $337 | Mercari | Near Mint | 100 | 2d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $338 | Mercari | Near Mint | 69 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $373 | Mercari | Near Mint | 75 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $388 | PWCC | Near Mint | 65 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $394 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 75 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $407 | PWCC | Near Mint | 84 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $407 | eBay | Near Mint | 80 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $408 | Mercari | Near Mint | 88 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $414 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 67 | 4d ago | Jun 4 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $372 | Mercari | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $329 | eBay | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $362 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $384 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $405 | PWCC | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $369 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 40d ago |
| $387 | PWCC | Near Mint | 44d ago |
| $384 | eBay | Near Mint | 47d ago |
| $408 | Mercari | Near Mint | 55d ago |
| $447 | PWCC | Near Mint | 57d ago |
| $401 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 58d ago |
| $447 | eBay | Near Mint | 58d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $244 | $220 | 9.9% | 4.3% | 7 | 42 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $575 | $538 | 6.5% | 8.2% | 17 | 38 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,651 | $1,514 | 8.3% | 6.5% | 22 | 42 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $303 | $306 | -1.1% | 3.5% | 2 | 34 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $912 | $819 | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11 | 39 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $712 | $585 | 17.9% | 1.4% | 15 | 56 |