Greninja Secret Rare
SimulatedGreninja Secret Rare · Neo Genesis · Secret Rare · 22/111
Character: Greninja
Price History
Opportunity Score
48- 7% below fair value+8 pts
- Price up 25% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- Sales accelerating+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish97Greninja Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+25.0%). Estimated fair value is $604 against a lowest active listing of $562. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+25.0% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 563.95 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 636.82 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 569.17 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.46 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $547 | PWCC | Near Mint | 12h ago |
| $586 | Mercari | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $693 | PWCC | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $577 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $619 | eBay | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $625 | Mercari | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $584 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $579 | eBay | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $607 | eBay | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $622 | PWCC | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $644 | Mercari | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $646 | eBay | Near Mint | 19d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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