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Greninja Secret Rare

Simulated

Greninja Secret Rare · Neo Genesis · Secret Rare · 22/111

Character: Greninja

high confidencebullish9730d 25.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$604
Lowest listing $5626.9% below
Bear Case
$523
Base Case
$604
Bull Case
$684

Price History

Dec 2Range $455$786May 30

Opportunity Score

48
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • Price up 25% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish97

Greninja Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+25.0%). Estimated fair value is $604 against a lowest active listing of $562. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+25.0% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
10
Sales / Month
16.0
Velocity Score
80/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+17.3%
Confidence
98/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps563.9550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices636.8225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection569.1725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.4620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$510TCGPlayerNear Mint9317d agoJan 1View
$511MercariNear Mint662d agoMay 31View
$526MercariNear Mint602d agoJan 1View
$545eBayNear Mint6923h agoJan 1View
$594eBayNear Mint679d agoJan 1View
$598TCGPlayerNear Mint852d agoJun 4View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$547PWCCNear Mint12h ago
$586MercariNear Mint2d ago
$693PWCCNear Mint5d ago
$577TCGPlayerNear Mint7d ago
$619eBayNear Mint7d ago
$625MercariNear Mint8d ago
$584TCGPlayerNear Mint9d ago
$579eBayNear Mint13d ago
$607eBayNear Mint14d ago
$622PWCCNear Mint16d ago
$644MercariNear Mint17d ago
$646eBayNear Mint19d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • Price up 27% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
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  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$285$24115.5%19.2%1047