Price History
Opportunity Score
33- Reputable seller+7 pts
- Price up 16% over 30 days+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Low active inventory+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish91Rayquaza ex (Special Illustration) (PSA 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+16.1%). Estimated fair value is $1781 against a lowest active listing of $1885. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+16.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.9%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1749.14 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 2048.38 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1902.71 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.96 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.46 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,476 | PWCC | Graded | 70 | 23h ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $1,512 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 64 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,512 | eBay | Graded | 72 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,513 | Mercari | Graded | 62 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,542 | Mercari | Graded | 78 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,543 | eBay | Graded | 62 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,555 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 86 | 15d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $1,593 | PWCC | Graded | 98 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,595 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 98 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,635 | PWCC | Graded | 83 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,661 | eBay | Graded | 85 | 9d ago | May 31 | View |
| $1,673 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 84 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,643 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 1d ago |
| $1,519 | eBay | Graded | 4d ago |
| $1,555 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 15d ago |
| $1,678 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 20d ago |
| $1,446 | Mercari | Graded | 26d ago |
| $1,514 | Mercari | Graded | 26d ago |
| $1,451 | PWCC | Graded | 27d ago |
| $1,218 | PWCC | Graded | 34d ago |
| $1,292 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 42d ago |
| $1,190 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 42d ago |
| $1,143 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 47d ago |
| $1,186 | Mercari | Graded | 50d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $9,601 | $10,034 | -4.5% | 34.7% | 4 | 54 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $913 | $818 | 10.4% | 8.8% | 20 | 38 |
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $45,068 | $40,081 | 11.1% | 11.9% | 20 | 40 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $2,030 | $1,702 | 16.2% | 24.9% | 10 | 42 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $679 | $625 | 7.9% | 20.2% | 3 | 51 |
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $436 | $402 | 7.8% | 1.8% | 23 | 34 |