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Rayquaza ex (Special Illustration)

PSA 9Simulated

Rayquaza ex (Special Illustration) · Base Set · Special Illustration Rare · 99/102

Character: Rayquaza

high confidencebullish9130d 16.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,781
Lowest listing $1,885
Bear Case
$1,491
Base Case
$1,781
Bull Case
$2,081

Price History

Dec 2Range $1.0K$2.2KMay 30

Opportunity Score

33
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Price up 16% over 30 days+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Low active inventory+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish91

Rayquaza ex (Special Illustration) (PSA 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+16.1%). Estimated fair value is $1781 against a lowest active listing of $1885. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+16.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.9%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
8
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-7.3%
Total Graded
2,471
Gem Mint
633
Population Growth
+5.9%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1749.1450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices2048.3825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1902.7125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.9650%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.4620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$1,476PWCCGraded7023h agoJun 3View
$1,512Facebook MarketplaceGraded647d agoJan 1View
$1,512eBayGraded7217d agoJan 1View
$1,513MercariGraded6214d agoJan 1View
$1,542MercariGraded7820d agoJan 1View
$1,543eBayGraded6215d agoJan 1View
$1,555TCGPlayerGraded8615d agoJun 4View
$1,593PWCCGraded9818d agoJan 1View
$1,595TCGPlayerGraded9820d agoJan 1View
$1,635PWCCGraded834d agoJan 1View
$1,661eBayGraded859d agoMay 31View
$1,673TCGPlayerGraded8415d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$1,643TCGPlayerGraded1d ago
$1,519eBayGraded4d ago
$1,555Facebook MarketplaceGraded15d ago
$1,678TCGPlayerGraded20d ago
$1,446MercariGraded26d ago
$1,514MercariGraded26d ago
$1,451PWCCGraded27d ago
$1,218PWCCGraded34d ago
$1,292Facebook MarketplaceGraded42d ago
$1,190TCGPlayerGraded42d ago
$1,143TCGPlayerGraded47d ago
$1,186MercariGraded50d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Price up 35% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
$9,601$10,034-4.5%34.7%454
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$913$81810.4%8.8%2038
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts
$45,068$40,08111.1%11.9%2040
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$2,030$1,70216.2%24.9%1042
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Price up 20% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
$679$6257.9%20.2%351
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$436$4027.8%1.8%2334