Rayquaza Holo Rare
SimulatedRayquaza Holo Rare · HeartGold SoulSilver · Holo Rare · 118/123
Character: Rayquaza
Price History
Opportunity Score
49- 13% below fair value+15 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
- Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish68Rayquaza Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.3%). Estimated fair value is $276 against a lowest active listing of $240. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 260.14 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 266.87 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 265.37 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.79 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $330 | eBay | Near Mint | 22h ago |
| $334 | PWCC | Near Mint | 1d ago |
| $313 | PWCC | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $283 | eBay | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $280 | Mercari | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $257 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $287 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $276 | Mercari | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $249 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 26d ago |
| $258 | PWCC | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $255 | eBay | Near Mint | 34d ago |
| $267 | eBay | Near Mint | 35d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $393 | $357 | 9.3% | 5.1% | 17 | 39 |
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $417 | $352 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 20 | 45 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $927 | $818 | 11.7% | 11.1% | 18 | 42 |
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
| $673 | $566 | 16.0% | 15.8% | 9 | 48 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $716 | $592 | 17.4% | 1.4% | 12 | 56 |
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $451 | $386 | 14.5% | 1.4% | 12 | 48 |