PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard

Tyranitar Promo

CGC 9.5Simulated

Tyranitar Promo · Prismatic Evolutions · Promo · 69/180

Character: Tyranitar

high confidencebullish9030d 20.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$89.27
Lowest listing $80.759.5% below
Bear Case
$71.63
Base Case
$89.27
Bull Case
$107

Price History

Dec 2Range $55.68$122May 30

Opportunity Score

47
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • Price up 20% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish90

Tyranitar Promo (CGC 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+20.3%). Estimated fair value is $89 against a lowest active listing of $81. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+20.3% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
21
Sales / Month
14.0
Velocity Score
70/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+12.3%
Total Graded
6,943
Gem Mint
3,779
Population Growth
+4.6%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps85.0850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices94.5425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection92.0525%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.3250%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.4620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$59.82PWCCGraded6518d agoJan 1View
$59.99eBayGraded742d agoMay 31View
$63.69TCGPlayerGraded8218d agoJan 1View
$64.98PWCCGraded8813d agoJan 1View
$66.91eBayGraded7019d agoJan 1View
$70.25PWCCGraded9917d agoJan 1View
$71.55MercariGraded8617d agoJan 1View
$71.98Facebook MarketplaceGraded638d agoJan 1View
$74.53MercariGraded608d agoJan 1View
$75.72PWCCGraded788d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$73.18PWCCGraded13d ago
$84.23Facebook MarketplaceGraded15d ago
$83.95MercariGraded17d ago
$110eBayGraded36d ago
$121Facebook MarketplaceGraded38d ago
$116PWCCGraded50d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$539$4928.7%5.6%1636
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
  • 7% below fair value+9 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$437$4057.4%6.6%742
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
  • 19% below fair value+22 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$449$36319.1%2.5%2362
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$504$44910.9%10.3%1650
Mewtwo ex (Illustration Rare)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$268$23014.2%15.6%1237
Sylveon V (Full Art)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
  • 18% below fair value+21 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$266$21917.6%15.3%1247