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Gyarados ex (Illustration Rare)

Simulated

Gyarados ex (Illustration Rare) · Neo Genesis · Illustration Rare · 99/111

Character: Gyarados

high confidencebullish8030d 11.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$439
Lowest listing $38712.0% below
Bear Case
$379
Base Case
$439
Bull Case
$499

Price History

Dec 2Range $353 – $573May 30

Opportunity Score

42
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Price up 11% over 30 days+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+4 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish80

Gyarados ex (Illustration Rare) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+11.4%). Estimated fair value is $439 against a lowest active listing of $387. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+11.4% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
16
Sales / Month
6.0
Velocity Score
30/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+10.7%
Confidence
86/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps415.3250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices456.9625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection433.1725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.1520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$421eBayNear Mint865d agoJan 1View
$421MercariNear Mint916d agoJan 1View
$481TCGPlayerNear Mint727d agoJun 4View
$503Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint749d agoJan 1View
$503eBayNear Mint8411d agoJan 1View
$504MercariNear Mint9717d agoJun 3View
$505Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8510d agoJun 3View
$524Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint698d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$452Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint5d ago
$426PWCCNear Mint5d ago
$449Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6d ago
$402eBayNear Mint6d ago
$446PWCCNear Mint7d ago
$405MercariNear Mint8d ago
$453TCGPlayerNear Mint11d ago
$419PWCCNear Mint12d ago
$428TCGPlayerNear Mint12d ago
$438MercariNear Mint14d ago
$434eBayNear Mint14d ago
$475eBayNear Mint15d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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