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Blastoise Secret Rare

CGC 9.5Simulated

Blastoise Secret Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Secret Rare · 92/207

Character: Blastoise

high confidencebullish6230d 3.2%
Estimated Fair Value
$510
Lowest listing $44712.5% below
Bear Case
$446
Base Case
$510
Bull Case
$576

Price History

Dec 2Range $376$532May 30

Opportunity Score

55
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts
  • Strong demand (7 sales/mo)+2 pts
  • Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish62

Blastoise Secret Rare (CGC 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.2%). Estimated fair value is $510 against a lowest active listing of $447. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
7.0
Velocity Score
35/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+15.1%
Total Graded
1,599
Gem Mint
451
Population Growth
-0.3%
Stable supply

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps480.5750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices529.0925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection488.5825%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)0.1350%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.0320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$370eBayGraded846d agoJan 1View
$388PWCCGraded8218d agoJan 1View
$390TCGPlayerGraded8016d agoJan 1View
$396PWCCGraded634d agoJun 2View
$401TCGPlayerGraded8321d agoJan 1View
$433MercariGraded6911d agoJan 1View
$442eBayGraded9312d agoJan 1View
$445MercariGraded7123h agoJan 1View
$450MercariGraded773d agoJan 1View
$454Facebook MarketplaceGraded756d agoJan 1View
$478MercariGraded649d agoMay 31View
$478PWCCGraded8320d agoJun 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$386Facebook MarketplaceGraded4d ago
$375eBayGraded7d ago
$411MercariGraded8d ago
$421MercariGraded9d ago
$418Facebook MarketplaceGraded10d ago
$389eBayGraded10d ago
$382TCGPlayerGraded16d ago
$368MercariGraded18d ago
$359Facebook MarketplaceGraded23d ago
$411eBayGraded24d ago
$369Facebook MarketplaceGraded25d ago
$395PWCCGraded27d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
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  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
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Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • 5% below fair value+6 pts
$268$2555.2%14.3%1733
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$606$52912.8%5.2%940
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$298$25614.0%8.4%2351