Blastoise Secret Rare
CGC 9.5SimulatedBlastoise Secret Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Secret Rare · 92/207
Character: Blastoise
Price History
Opportunity Score
55- 13% below fair value+15 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Low active inventory+3 pts
- Strong demand (7 sales/mo)+2 pts
- Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish62Blastoise Secret Rare (CGC 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.2%). Estimated fair value is $510 against a lowest active listing of $447. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 480.57 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 529.09 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 488.58 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.13 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.03 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $370 | eBay | Graded | 84 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $388 | PWCC | Graded | 82 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $390 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 80 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $396 | PWCC | Graded | 63 | 4d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $401 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 83 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $433 | Mercari | Graded | 69 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $442 | eBay | Graded | 93 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $445 | Mercari | Graded | 71 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $450 | Mercari | Graded | 77 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $454 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 75 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $478 | Mercari | Graded | 64 | 9d ago | May 31 | View |
| $478 | PWCC | Graded | 83 | 20d ago | Jun 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $386 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 4d ago |
| $375 | eBay | Graded | 7d ago |
| $411 | Mercari | Graded | 8d ago |
| $421 | Mercari | Graded | 9d ago |
| $418 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 10d ago |
| $389 | eBay | Graded | 10d ago |
| $382 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 16d ago |
| $368 | Mercari | Graded | 18d ago |
| $359 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 23d ago |
| $411 | eBay | Graded | 24d ago |
| $369 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 25d ago |
| $395 | PWCC | Graded | 27d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $780 | $860 | -10.2% | 30.6% | 3 | 49 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $302 | $301 | 0.4% | 13.9% | 7 | 32 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $486 | $419 | 13.8% | 14.5% | 21 | 40 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $268 | $255 | 5.2% | 14.3% | 17 | 33 |
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
| $606 | $529 | 12.8% | 5.2% | 9 | 40 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $298 | $256 | 14.0% | 8.4% | 23 | 51 |