PokéAlpha
DashboardAlpha ScannerBacktestAI AnalystHunt ListsAlertsPortfolioAlpha Feed

Market intelligence for Pokémon collectors & investors.

PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) card artwork

Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)

Simulated

Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) · Prismatic Evolutions · Alt Art · 38/180

Character: Umbreon

medium confidencebullish8330d ▲13.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$500
Lowest listing $4696.1% below
Bear Case
$437
Base Case
$500
Bull Case
$564

Price History

Dec 2Range $338 – $497May 30

Opportunity Score

36
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Price up 14% over 30 days+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish83

Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+13.6%). Estimated fair value is $500 against a lowest active listing of $469. Valuation confidence is medium based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+13.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
3.5
Velocity Score
18/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+8.4%
Confidence
58/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps473.750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices519.4525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection498.3725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.6820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$401MercariNear Mint8415d agoJan 1View
$429MercariNear Mint965d agoJan 1View
$438PWCCNear Mint897d agoJan 1View
$439MercariNear Mint8814d agoJun 1View
$443MercariNear Mint9910d agoMay 31View
$444MercariNear Mint9511d agoJan 1View
$445TCGPlayerNear Mint8910d agoJan 1View
$448Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7119d agoJan 1View
$453eBayNear Mint9615d agoJan 1View
$454Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9211d agoJan 1View
$459TCGPlayerNear Mint8722h agoJan 1View
$484TCGPlayerNear Mint7121d agoJun 3View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$426TCGPlayerNear Mint13h ago
$453PWCCNear Mint2d ago
$471PWCCNear Mint5d ago
$471Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6d ago
$436eBayNear Mint7d ago
$452PWCCNear Mint12d ago
$494TCGPlayerNear Mint13d ago
$514PWCCNear Mint16d ago
$492eBayNear Mint17d ago
$462Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint18d ago
$471TCGPlayerNear Mint18d ago
$454eBayNear Mint19d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
$288$25212.2%▲11.6%2239
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$1,569$1,35713.6%▲2.4%2351
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 21% below fair value+24 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$277$22020.5%▼23.8%2042
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$557$49710.7%▼12.6%1552
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$409$35413.3%▲3.1%847
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
  • 24% below fair value+29 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$348$26324.4%▼14.7%2061