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Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno-GX — Hidden Fates — Rare Holo GX

Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno-GX

Simulated

Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno-GX · Hidden Fates · Rare Holo GX · 44

Character: Moltres

high confidencebullish9930d 19.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$71.71
Lowest listing $61.4414.3% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$62.24
Base Case
$71.71
Bull Case
$81.38

Price History

Dec 8Range $44.82 – $86.16Jun 5

Opportunity Score

57
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • Price up 19% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (19 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish99

Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno-GX is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+19.3%). Estimated fair value is $72 against a lowest active listing of $61. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+19.3% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
19.0
Velocity Score
95/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+15.6%
Confidence
92/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-29.1%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$61.44
All-in cost
$90.44+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$246
Expected proceeds
$64.1430% gem → $73.73 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.30
Breakeven graded value
$347value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.8dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
32.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-12.9%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
13active listings
Recent sold avg
$72.21mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$62.92cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$69.25
Median
$77.61
Mean
$77.50
Max
$90.02

Showing 13 of 13 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps67.6150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices74.4425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection68.5525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.1120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$62.92MercariNear Mint6663d agoJan 1View
$63.79TCGPlayerNear Mint9271d agoJun 6View
$65.09TCGPlayerNear Mint6158d agoJun 9View
$66.12PWCCNear Mint9061d agoJun 9View
$67.67MercariNear Mint8555d agoJan 1View
$69.11eBayNear Mint6872d agoJun 8View
$71.03Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9368d agoJun 10View
$71.92eBayNear Mint9064d agoJan 1View
$73.79MercariNear Mint8665d agoJan 1View
$74.87PWCCNear Mint9367d agoJan 1View
$77.18TCGPlayerNear Mint8663d agoJan 1View
$79.28TCGPlayerNear Mint10069d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$75.27PWCCNear Mint56d ago
$69.72TCGPlayerNear Mint78d ago
$76.53PWCCNear Mint83d ago
$69.25PWCCNear Mint85d ago
$71.54MercariNear Mint87d ago
$70.92Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint87d ago
$82.17Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint91d ago
$79.08eBayNear Mint95d ago
$90.02TCGPlayerNear Mint101d ago
$80.41Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint102d ago
$86.16TCGPlayerNear Mint105d ago
$78.78eBayNear Mint106d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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