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Farfetch'd — Hidden Fates — Uncommon

Farfetch'd

Simulated

Farfetch'd · Hidden Fates · Uncommon · 45

Character: Farfetch'd

high confidenceneutral6030d ▲0.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$13.28
Lowest listing $13.89
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$11.11
Base Case
$13.28
Bull Case
$15.45

Price History

Dec 8Range $42.86 – $69.44Jun 5

Opportunity Score

27
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral60

Farfetch'd is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.9%). Estimated fair value is $13 against a lowest active listing of $14. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
3
Sales / Month
10.5
Velocity Score
53/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-3.9%
Confidence
82/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-66.2%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$13.89
All-in cost
$42.89+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$55.56
Expected proceeds
$14.5030% gem → $16.67 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$28.39
Breakeven graded value
$164value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
6.3dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
50.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+8.0%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
5active listings
Recent sold avg
$54.32mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$58.65cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$48.62
Median
$56.71
Mean
$56.15
Max
$61.54

Showing 11 of 11 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps12.950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices14.5225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection13.2325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.7820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$58.65eBayNear Mint8070d agoJan 1View
$63.73TCGPlayerNear Mint6360d agoJun 6View
$64.40TCGPlayerNear Mint7466d agoJan 1View
$68.52PWCCNear Mint9962d agoJan 1View
$71.49eBayNear Mint7260d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$57.56TCGPlayerNear Mint59d ago
$61.54Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint63d ago
$49.97MercariNear Mint72d ago
$48.62eBayNear Mint74d ago
$53.93Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint90d ago
$56.71eBayNear Mint91d ago
$61.08PWCCNear Mint92d ago
$59.66MercariNear Mint92d ago
$59.60MercariNear Mint93d ago
$54.17Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint111d ago
$54.85Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint112d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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