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Snorlax Secret Rare

Simulated

Snorlax Secret Rare · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · 34/163

Character: Snorlax

high confidencebullish7330d 4.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$438
Lowest listing $3979.2% below
Bear Case
$375
Base Case
$438
Bull Case
$502

Price History

Dec 2Range $349$453May 30

Opportunity Score

38
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Price up 4% over 30 days+2 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish73

Snorlax Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+4.5%). Estimated fair value is $438 against a lowest active listing of $397. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
17.5
Velocity Score
88/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+4.1%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps415.4250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices464.9525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection440.925%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.8220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$381eBayNear Mint865d agoJan 1View
$421TCGPlayerNear Mint907d agoJan 1View
$424TCGPlayerNear Mint6817d agoJan 1View
$462TCGPlayerNear Mint878d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$412PWCCNear Mint3d ago
$429Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint4d ago
$412eBayNear Mint10d ago
$385eBayNear Mint12d ago
$416Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint14d ago
$424eBayNear Mint15d ago
$462Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint18d ago
$392Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint20d ago
$417PWCCNear Mint22d ago
$369TCGPlayerNear Mint34d ago
$396PWCCNear Mint35d ago
$373TCGPlayerNear Mint39d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • Reputable seller+6 pts
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