Gardevoir Ultra Rare
PSA 10SimulatedGardevoir Ultra Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Ultra Rare · 179/207
Character: Gardevoir
Price History
Opportunity Score
29- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Price up 10% over 30 days+4 pts
- Strong demand (11 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Sales accelerating+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish71Gardevoir Ultra Rare (PSA 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+9.7%). Estimated fair value is $441 against a lowest active listing of $439. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+9.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (6.8%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 451.59 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 504.69 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 404.61 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3.41 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.78 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $442 | PWCC | Graded | 2d ago |
| $440 | eBay | Graded | 3d ago |
| $499 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 5d ago |
| $523 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 9d ago |
| $564 | Mercari | Graded | 12d ago |
| $561 | eBay | Graded | 12d ago |
| $570 | Mercari | Graded | 14d ago |
| $562 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 18d ago |
| $511 | eBay | Graded | 20d ago |
| $582 | Mercari | Graded | 21d ago |
| $513 | PWCC | Graded | 23d ago |
| $582 | PWCC | Graded | 24d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $746 | $710 | 4.8% | 30.6% | 9 | 39 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $305 | $294 | 3.6% | 13.9% | 13 | 32 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $485 | $408 | 15.9% | 14.5% | 13 | 46 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $277 | $272 | 2.1% | 14.3% | 14 | 31 |
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
| $624 | $534 | 14.4% | 5.2% | 13 | 47 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $297 | $259 | 13.1% | 8.4% | 17 | 45 |