Espeon Ultra Rare
BGS 9.5SimulatedEspeon Ultra Rare · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Ultra Rare · 59/109
Character: Espeon
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral58Espeon Ultra Rare (BGS 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+1.1%). Estimated fair value is $495 against a lowest active listing of $437. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (6.4%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 515.71 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 503.08 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 522.24 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3.22 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.55 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $681 | eBay | Graded | 17h ago |
| $610 | eBay | Graded | 6d ago |
| $566 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 7d ago |
| $583 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 9d ago |
| $582 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 10d ago |
| $555 | eBay | Graded | 11d ago |
| $575 | Mercari | Graded | 12d ago |
| $554 | PWCC | Graded | 13d ago |
| $534 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 14d ago |
| $496 | eBay | Graded | 18d ago |
| $497 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 24d ago |
| $564 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 25d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEX Ruby & SapphireBGS 9Simulated
| $461 | $399 | 13.4% | 0.8% | 16 | 48 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $432 | $385 | 10.9% | 6.0% | 17 | 40 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $403 | $352 | 12.6% | 9.1% | 21 | 39 |
Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $432 | $363 | 15.9% | 8.2% | 13 | 42 |
Lugia Ultra RareEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $297 | $266 | 10.5% | 3.9% | 23 | 35 |
Snorlax V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphirePSA 9.5Simulated
| $392 | $338 | 13.6% | 9.8% | 2 | 53 |