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Espeon Ultra Rare

BGS 9.5Simulated

Espeon Ultra Rare · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Ultra Rare · 59/109

Character: Espeon

high confidenceneutral5830d 1.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$495
Lowest listing $43711.8% below
Bear Case
$424
Base Case
$495
Bull Case
$567

Price History

Dec 2Range $362$639May 30

Opportunity Score

39
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral58

Espeon Ultra Rare (BGS 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+1.1%). Estimated fair value is $495 against a lowest active listing of $437. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (6.4%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
14
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-2.7%
Total Graded
1,073
Gem Mint
299
Population Growth
+6.4%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps515.7150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices503.0825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection522.2425%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-3.2250%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.5520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$575Facebook MarketplaceGraded8311d agoJun 3View
$592PWCCGraded851d agoJan 1View
$716Facebook MarketplaceGraded733d agoJan 1View
$741TCGPlayerGraded8920d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$681eBayGraded17h ago
$610eBayGraded6d ago
$566TCGPlayerGraded7d ago
$583Facebook MarketplaceGraded9d ago
$582Facebook MarketplaceGraded10d ago
$555eBayGraded11d ago
$575MercariGraded12d ago
$554PWCCGraded13d ago
$534TCGPlayerGraded14d ago
$496eBayGraded18d ago
$497Facebook MarketplaceGraded24d ago
$564Facebook MarketplaceGraded25d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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