Snorlax Secret Rare
SimulatedSnorlax Secret Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Secret Rare · 168/180
Character: Snorlax
Price History
Opportunity Score
51- 13% below fair value+16 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- Low active inventory+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral43Snorlax Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-4.2%). Estimated fair value is $427 against a lowest active listing of $370. Valuation confidence is medium based on 3-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 404.87 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 405.5 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 411.14 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.06 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $244 | eBay | Near Mint | 61 | 23h ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $253 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 69 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $254 | Mercari | Near Mint | 87 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $257 | eBay | Near Mint | 75 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $258 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 83 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $260 | PWCC | Near Mint | 96 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $262 | Mercari | Near Mint | 84 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $283 | eBay | Near Mint | 90 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $287 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 84 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $287 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 72 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $287 | Mercari | Near Mint | 75 | 15d ago | May 31 | View |
| $299 | Mercari | Near Mint | 78 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $292 | Mercari | Near Mint | 10m ago |
| $264 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $304 | PWCC | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $329 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $303 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $287 | eBay | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $323 | PWCC | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $282 | PWCC | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $307 | PWCC | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $273 | PWCC | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $254 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $275 | Mercari | Near Mint | 29d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
| $585 | $518 | 11.5% | 15.6% | 18 | 38 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
| $449 | $413 | 8.0% | 4.4% | 20 | 31 |
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $446 | $488 | -9.5% | 5.3% | 3 | 35 |
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)Prismatic EvolutionsSimulated
| $557 | $503 | 9.8% | 3.5% | 5 | 44 |
Snorlax Ultra RareHidden FatesBGS 10Simulated
| $616 | $539 | 12.4% | 19.8% | 8 | 57 |
Snorlax Holo RareBase SetSimulated
| $364 | $348 | 4.6% | 1.3% | 21 | 32 |