Espeon Secret Rare
BGS 10SimulatedEspeon Secret Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Secret Rare · 99/207
Character: Espeon
Price History
Opportunity Score
39- Sales accelerating+8 pts
- Price up 51% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish85Espeon Secret Rare (BGS 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+50.7%). Estimated fair value is $619 against a lowest active listing of $643. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+50.7% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.6%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 507.64 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 732.21 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 699.23 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.79 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.09 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $517 | Mercari | Graded | 19d ago |
| $573 | Mercari | Graded | 19d ago |
| $586 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 29d ago |
| $495 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 38d ago |
| $630 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 48d ago |
| $588 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 52d ago |
| $534 | eBay | Graded | 59d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $827 | $754 | 8.8% | 31.3% | 20 | 61 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $326 | $291 | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10 | 47 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $495 | $425 | 14.2% | 8.8% | 2 | 58 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $296 | $256 | 13.7% | 16.0% | 21 | 55 |
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
| $583 | $508 | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9 | 44 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $300 | $245 | 18.3% | 12.9% | 13 | 51 |