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Venusaur Promo

Simulated

Venusaur Promo · XY Evolutions · Promo · 57/108

Character: Venusaur

high confidencebearish2130d 14.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$159
Lowest listing $12521.5% below
Bear Case
$135
Base Case
$159
Bull Case
$181

Price History

Dec 2Range $120 – $208May 30

Opportunity Score

50
  • 22% below fair value+25 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish21

Venusaur Promo is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-14.7%). Estimated fair value is $159 against a lowest active listing of $125. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-14.7% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
9
Sales / Month
4.5
Velocity Score
23/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+16.1%
Confidence
71/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps165.7250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices148.4825%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection135.2125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.2220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$151PWCCNear Mint654d agoJan 1View
$159PWCCNear Mint7313d agoJan 1View
$163eBayNear Mint709d agoJan 1View
$175PWCCNear Mint8721d agoJan 1View
$181PWCCNear Mint626d agoJan 1View
$184TCGPlayerNear Mint8410d agoJan 1View
$185eBayNear Mint10016d agoJan 1View
$193eBayNear Mint7010d agoJan 1View
$193eBayNear Mint808d agoJun 4View
$198MercariNear Mint9014d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$170PWCCNear Mint4d ago
$153TCGPlayerNear Mint6d ago
$157PWCCNear Mint6d ago
$168Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7d ago
$177eBayNear Mint8d ago
$156Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint10d ago
$154PWCCNear Mint10d ago
$162Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint12d ago
$163PWCCNear Mint12d ago
$173TCGPlayerNear Mint12d ago
$169MercariNear Mint13d ago
$153Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint21d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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