Lucario ex (Special Illustration)
BGS 9SimulatedLucario ex (Special Illustration) · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Special Illustration Rare · 44/109
Character: Lucario
Price History
Opportunity Score
25- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
- Strong demand (7 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish63Lucario ex (Special Illustration) (BGS 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.2%). Estimated fair value is $620 against a lowest active listing of $616. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+7.2% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (6.5%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 624.88 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 698.09 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 639.24 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3.26 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.91 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $423 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 7d ago |
| $464 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 8d ago |
| $500 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 9d ago |
| $500 | eBay | Graded | 9d ago |
| $469 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 12d ago |
| $486 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 15d ago |
| $423 | eBay | Graded | 20d ago |
| $430 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 21d ago |
| $464 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 21d ago |
| $409 | PWCC | Graded | 30d ago |
| $467 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 32d ago |
| $446 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 33d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEX Ruby & SapphireBGS 9Simulated
| $426 | $383 | 10.0% | 0.8% | 6 | 35 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $419 | $383 | 8.6% | 6.0% | 14 | 35 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $399 | $356 | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5 | 35 |
Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $424 | $367 | 13.4% | 8.2% | 3 | 41 |
Lugia Ultra RareEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $300 | $264 | 11.8% | 3.9% | 11 | 40 |
Snorlax V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphirePSA 9.5Simulated
| $391 | $353 | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6 | 47 |