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Greninja Ultra Rare

Simulated

Greninja Ultra Rare · Jungle · Ultra Rare · 27/64

Character: Greninja

high confidenceneutral4130d 8.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$653
Lowest listing $6333.1% below
Bear Case
$535
Base Case
$653
Bull Case
$768

Price History

Dec 2Range $629 – $954May 30

Opportunity Score

26
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • 3% below fair value+4 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral41

Greninja Ultra Rare is currently fairly valued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-8.3%). Estimated fair value is $653 against a lowest active listing of $633. Valuation confidence is high based on 18-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-8.3% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
18
Sales / Month
12.5
Velocity Score
63/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-10.6%
Confidence
95/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps668.2550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices713.5125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection618.4325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.1320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$827PWCCNear Mint674d agoJan 1View
$833eBayNear Mint8819d agoJan 1View
$836MercariNear Mint902d agoJan 1View
$868MercariNear Mint8023h agoJan 1View
$877MercariNear Mint7310d agoJan 1View
$882TCGPlayerNear Mint833d agoJun 1View
$891MercariNear Mint8011d agoJun 1View
$921MercariNear Mint6716d agoJun 4View
$940MercariNear Mint6715d agoJun 2View
$947eBayNear Mint9711d agoJun 3View
$962Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint735d agoJan 1View
$968TCGPlayerNear Mint8812d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$1,012eBayNear Mint10h ago
$866eBayNear Mint2d ago
$923Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint4d ago
$979MercariNear Mint7d ago
$835MercariNear Mint8d ago
$849PWCCNear Mint9d ago
$894Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9d ago
$855PWCCNear Mint16d ago
$857PWCCNear Mint17d ago
$762PWCCNear Mint24d ago
$923TCGPlayerNear Mint32d ago
$842PWCCNear Mint36d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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Mew V (Full Art)JungleBGS 9Simulated
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  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
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