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Brock's Pewter City Gym — Hidden Fates — Uncommon

Brock's Pewter City Gym

Simulated

Brock's Pewter City Gym · Hidden Fates · Uncommon · 54

Character: Brock's

high confidencebullish9730d 35.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$55.26
Lowest listing $51.786.3% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$44.63
Base Case
$55.26
Bull Case
$66.52

Price History

Dec 8Range $60.13 – $92.69Jun 5

Opportunity Score

45
  • Price up 36% over 30 days+8 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish97

Brock's Pewter City Gym is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+35.7%). Estimated fair value is $55 against a lowest active listing of $52. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+35.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
3
Sales / Month
16.5
Velocity Score
83/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-3.3%
Confidence
80/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-33.1%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$51.78
All-in cost
$80.78+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$207
Expected proceeds
$54.0630% gem → $62.14 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.72
Breakeven graded value
$310value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
10.2dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
16.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-3.6%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
21active listings
Recent sold avg
$84.77mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$81.71cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$67.67
Median
$80.63
Mean
$78.87
Max
$91.33

Showing 9 of 9 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps53.8250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices56.4325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection58.4625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.6720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$81.71PWCCNear Mint7365d agoJan 1View
$85.11MercariNear Mint6573d agoJan 1View
$88.41TCGPlayerNear Mint6060d agoJan 1View
$89.80eBayNear Mint8660d agoJan 1View
$91.74PWCCNear Mint8970d agoJan 1View
$92.14TCGPlayerNear Mint8255d agoJan 1View
$92.70Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9458d agoJan 1View
$93.12MercariNear Mint8464d agoJan 1View
$98.68TCGPlayerNear Mint8572d agoJun 7View
$99.68Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7771d agoJan 1View
$99.85eBayNear Mint8656d agoJan 1View
$99.95MercariNear Mint6469d agoJun 10View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$91.33TCGPlayerNear Mint56d ago
$83.20Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint67d ago
$85.49MercariNear Mint70d ago
$79.07Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint81d ago
$83.14PWCCNear Mint93d ago
$80.63PWCCNear Mint103d ago
$70.48Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint106d ago
$67.67TCGPlayerNear Mint108d ago
$68.85eBayNear Mint109d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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