Price History
Opportunity Score
60- 9% below fair value+10 pts
- Sales accelerating+9 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- Low active inventory+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Price up 6% over 30 days+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish70Omanyte (PSA 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+6.2%). Estimated fair value is $154 against a lowest active listing of $140. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+6.2% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growing 3.9%/mo — steady supply across 7811 graded.
7,811 graded · 33% gem · +3.9%/mo
- Raw cost
- $140
- All-in cost
- $169+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $154
- Expected proceeds
- $40.0830% gem → $46.07 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$128.74
- Breakeven graded value
- $647value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 9.5 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 2.5dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 41.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -5.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 16active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $383mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $363cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $326
- Median
- $378
- Mean
- $377
- Max
- $421
Showing 14 of 16 sales · 2 outliers trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 138.67 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 160.76 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 147.47 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.16 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.72 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $363 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 89 | 75d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $368 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 99 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $369 | eBay | Graded | 68 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $371 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 96 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $397 | eBay | Graded | 72 | 58d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $404 | Mercari | Graded | 78 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $404 | PWCC | Graded | 66 | 62d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $423 | Mercari | Graded | 96 | 63d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $429 | eBay | Graded | 91 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $430 | eBay | Graded | 81 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $452 | PWCC | Graded | 62 | 56d ago | Jun 10 | View |
| $459 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 74 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $392 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 54d ago |
| $421 | Mercari | Graded | 55d ago |
| $371 | eBay | Graded | 64d ago |
| $390 | PWCC | Graded | 67d ago |
| $406 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 69d ago |
| $367 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 70d ago |
| $358 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 76d ago |
| $368 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 81d ago |
| $380 | Mercari | Graded | 82d ago |
| $386 | Mercari | Graded | 83d ago |
| $376 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 89d ago |
| $348 | PWCC | Graded | 91d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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