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Blastoise Secret Rare

PSA 10Simulated

Blastoise Secret Rare · Evolving Skies · Secret Rare · 155/237

Character: Blastoise

high confidenceneutral4130d 5.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$711
Lowest listing $63610.5% below
Bear Case
$618
Base Case
$711
Bull Case
$803

Price History

Dec 2Range $475$805May 30

Opportunity Score

37
  • 11% below fair value+12 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Population growth slowing+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral41

Blastoise Secret Rare (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.7%). Estimated fair value is $711 against a lowest active listing of $636. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-5.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
10
Sales / Month
10.0
Velocity Score
50/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+0.5%
Total Graded
6,156
Gem Mint
3,238
Population Growth
+3.4%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps730.8250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices731.5925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection698.4425%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-1.7150%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$419PWCCGraded6219d agoJan 1View
$454MercariGraded6620d agoJan 1View
$457MercariGraded959d agoJan 1View
$485MercariGraded7219d agoJan 1View
$500MercariGraded7412d agoJan 1View
$525TCGPlayerGraded6215d agoJun 4View
$545TCGPlayerGraded7015d agoMay 31View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$554TCGPlayerGraded3d ago
$565eBayGraded5d ago
$568MercariGraded7d ago
$638eBayGraded10d ago
$580Facebook MarketplaceGraded15d ago
$573eBayGraded16d ago
$593Facebook MarketplaceGraded17d ago
$606Facebook MarketplaceGraded18d ago
$664eBayGraded18d ago
$693eBayGraded27d ago
$650Facebook MarketplaceGraded32d ago
$728PWCCGraded32d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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