Blastoise Secret Rare
PSA 10SimulatedBlastoise Secret Rare · Evolving Skies · Secret Rare · 155/237
Character: Blastoise
Price History
Opportunity Score
37- 11% below fair value+12 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Population growth slowing+3 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral41Blastoise Secret Rare (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.7%). Estimated fair value is $711 against a lowest active listing of $636. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: softening prices (-5.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 730.82 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 731.59 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 698.44 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.71 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.1 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $554 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 3d ago |
| $565 | eBay | Graded | 5d ago |
| $568 | Mercari | Graded | 7d ago |
| $638 | eBay | Graded | 10d ago |
| $580 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 15d ago |
| $573 | eBay | Graded | 16d ago |
| $593 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 17d ago |
| $606 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 18d ago |
| $664 | eBay | Graded | 18d ago |
| $693 | eBay | Graded | 27d ago |
| $650 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 32d ago |
| $728 | PWCC | Graded | 32d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $244 | $220 | 9.9% | 4.3% | 7 | 42 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $575 | $538 | 6.5% | 8.2% | 17 | 38 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,651 | $1,514 | 8.3% | 6.5% | 22 | 42 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $303 | $306 | -1.1% | 3.5% | 2 | 34 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $712 | $585 | 17.9% | 1.4% | 15 | 56 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $709 | $641 | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10 | 44 |