PokéAlpha
DashboardAlpha ScannerBacktestAI AnalystHunt ListsAlertsPortfolioAlpha Feed

Market intelligence for Pokémon collectors & investors.

PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard
Gardevoir ex (Special Illustration) card artwork

Gardevoir ex (Special Illustration)

Simulated

Gardevoir ex (Special Illustration) · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Special Illustration Rare · 31/109

Character: Gardevoir

high confidencebullish9530d ▲14.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$430
Lowest listing $3948.5% below
Bear Case
$364
Base Case
$430
Bull Case
$497

Price History

Dec 2Range $304 – $563May 30

Opportunity Score

48
  • 8% below fair value+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Price up 14% over 30 days+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish95

Gardevoir ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+14.2%). Estimated fair value is $430 against a lowest active listing of $394. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+14.2% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
18.5
Velocity Score
93/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+8.2%
Confidence
88/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps410.0750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices440.3625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection432.1525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.6520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$481MercariNear Mint8115d agoJan 1View
$484Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint998d agoJan 1View
$490TCGPlayerNear Mint7213d agoJan 1View
$506PWCCNear Mint8619d agoJan 1View
$519PWCCNear Mint6119d agoJun 2View
$574MercariNear Mint9711d agoJan 1View
$579eBayNear Mint9718d agoJun 4View
$583eBayNear Mint903d agoJan 1View
$604PWCCNear Mint7015d agoMay 31View
$610Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint659d agoMay 31View
$611Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7512d agoJun 3View
$618eBayNear Mint933d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$529eBayNear Mint14h ago
$536TCGPlayerNear Mint3d ago
$547eBayNear Mint4d ago
$537PWCCNear Mint7d ago
$482TCGPlayerNear Mint10d ago
$509PWCCNear Mint10d ago
$445MercariNear Mint14d ago
$454PWCCNear Mint14d ago
$499PWCCNear Mint15d ago
$448PWCCNear Mint16d ago
$480PWCCNear Mint16d ago
$482PWCCNear Mint17d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Holo RareEX Ruby & SapphireBGS 9Simulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$437$38910.9%▼2.9%1345
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$450$40410.1%▲11.2%541
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$375$33211.3%▼14.6%739
Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 18% below fair value+21 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$463$37818.3%▲5.5%2254
Lugia Ultra RareEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$275$23016.3%▼7.2%852
Snorlax V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphirePSA 9.5Simulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Price up 18% over 30 days+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$475$42810.0%▲18.4%2148