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Mewtwo Holo Rare

CGC 9.5Simulated

Mewtwo Holo Rare · Crown Zenith · Holo Rare · 84/159

Character: Mewtwo

medium confidencebullish8030d 15.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$227
Lowest listing $247
Bear Case
$188
Base Case
$227
Bull Case
$267

Price History

Dec 2Range $181$371May 30

Opportunity Score

31
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Price up 15% over 30 days+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish80

Mewtwo Holo Rare (CGC 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+15.4%). Estimated fair value is $227 against a lowest active listing of $247. Valuation confidence is medium based on 3-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+15.4% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.6%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
3
Sales / Month
4.0
Velocity Score
20/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
-7.1%
Total Graded
7,243
Gem Mint
2,275
Population Growth
+5.6%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps221.550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices261.2425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection243.7125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.850%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.4220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$245PWCCGraded9315d agoJan 1View
$245TCGPlayerGraded9821d agoJan 1View
$254eBayGraded6611d agoJan 1View
$255MercariGraded6212d agoJan 1View
$256TCGPlayerGraded8222h agoJan 1View
$264eBayGraded764d agoJan 1View
$272MercariGraded6313d agoJun 4View
$280MercariGraded6811d agoJun 4View
$284TCGPlayerGraded752d agoJan 1View
$285Facebook MarketplaceGraded9414d agoJan 1View
$292TCGPlayerGraded782d agoJun 1View
$296eBayGraded6920d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$287TCGPlayerGraded3d ago
$314Facebook MarketplaceGraded4d ago
$281Facebook MarketplaceGraded7d ago
$277PWCCGraded7d ago
$320PWCCGraded8d ago
$315Facebook MarketplaceGraded13d ago
$320PWCCGraded14d ago
$351PWCCGraded14d ago
$348eBayGraded15d ago
$318eBayGraded21d ago
$348TCGPlayerGraded23d ago
$327TCGPlayerGraded23d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

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  • Price up 18% over 30 days+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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Mewtwo Secret RareHidden FatesSimulated
  • Price up 33% over 30 days+8 pts
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Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Price up 16% over 30 days+6 pts
$1,798$1,943-8.1%16.1%733
Lugia Secret RareCrown ZenithSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$435$39110.0%3.5%2241
Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 18% below fair value+21 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$475$38818.2%9.3%1550
Mewtwo (Base)Base SetPSA 9Simulated
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$727$6934.7%15.8%2045