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Gardevoir Ultra Rare

BGS 9Simulated

Gardevoir Ultra Rare · XY Evolutions · Ultra Rare · 95/108

Character: Gardevoir

high confidencebearish2830d 12.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$325
Lowest listing $3027.1% below
Bear Case
$263
Base Case
$325
Bull Case
$386

Price History

Dec 2Range $281$449May 30

Opportunity Score

46
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Population growth slowing+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+4 pts
  • Strong demand (9 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish28

Gardevoir Ultra Rare (BGS 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-12.1%). Estimated fair value is $325 against a lowest active listing of $302. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-12.1% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
4
Sales / Month
9.0
Velocity Score
45/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+10.3%
Total Graded
2,947
Gem Mint
596
Population Growth
+1.4%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps320.2650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices330.0425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection311.6125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-0.6850%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.0720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$350MercariGraded9617d agoJan 1View
$352Facebook MarketplaceGraded847d agoJan 1View
$352TCGPlayerGraded8112d agoJan 1View
$353eBayGraded7520d agoJan 1View
$355TCGPlayerGraded8312d agoJan 1View
$355TCGPlayerGraded8117d agoJan 1View
$364eBayGraded9016d agoJan 1View
$374Facebook MarketplaceGraded856d agoJan 1View
$392Facebook MarketplaceGraded7118d agoJun 4View
$399TCGPlayerGraded9316d agoJun 2View
$417MercariGraded891d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$320TCGPlayerGraded3d ago
$369PWCCGraded4d ago
$357TCGPlayerGraded6d ago
$352TCGPlayerGraded9d ago
$298MercariGraded14d ago
$298Facebook MarketplaceGraded19d ago
$324MercariGraded20d ago
$340TCGPlayerGraded20d ago
$367MercariGraded24d ago
$343Facebook MarketplaceGraded26d ago
$394Facebook MarketplaceGraded30d ago
$394PWCCGraded31d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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