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Brock's Pewter City Gym — Hidden Fates — Uncommon

Brock's Pewter City Gym

Simulated

Brock's Pewter City Gym · Hidden Fates · Uncommon · 54

Character: Brock's

high confidencebullish6530d 0.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$50.33
Lowest listing $43.8912.8% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$43.44
Base Case
$50.33
Bull Case
$57.19

Price History

Dec 8Range $41.76 – $68.47Jun 5

Opportunity Score

49
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish65

Brock's Pewter City Gym is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.6%). Estimated fair value is $50 against a lowest active listing of $44. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
22
Sales / Month
17.5
Velocity Score
88/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+25.9%
Confidence
98/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-37.1%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$43.89
All-in cost
$72.89+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$176
Expected proceeds
$45.8230% gem → $52.67 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.07
Breakeven graded value
$279value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
2.4dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
31.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+7.1%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
11active listings
Recent sold avg
$54.03mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$57.87cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$49.54
Median
$55.57
Mean
$55.75
Max
$62.17

Showing 13 of 13 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps47.3850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices50.6525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection45.9925%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.1920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$57.87TCGPlayerNear Mint7958d agoJan 1View
$59.51TCGPlayerNear Mint7364d agoJan 1View
$60.00Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9169d agoJan 1View
$61.83eBayNear Mint8264d agoJan 1View
$63.14TCGPlayerNear Mint7568d agoJan 1View
$68.88PWCCNear Mint7469d agoJan 1View
$70.09Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7374d agoJan 1View
$70.15eBayNear Mint8559d agoJan 1View
$72.13PWCCNear Mint7873d agoJan 1View
$75.53PWCCNear Mint9375d agoJan 1View
$76.89MercariNear Mint7274d agoJun 7View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$54.30eBayNear Mint65d ago
$59.28MercariNear Mint79d ago
$49.54TCGPlayerNear Mint82d ago
$55.57TCGPlayerNear Mint83d ago
$51.46TCGPlayerNear Mint85d ago
$62.17eBayNear Mint96d ago
$53.77Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint97d ago
$60.44Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint100d ago
$51.39MercariNear Mint100d ago
$58.77PWCCNear Mint102d ago
$51.34PWCCNear Mint102d ago
$55.85eBayNear Mint109d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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