Gengar ex (Illustration Rare)
BGS 10SimulatedGengar ex (Illustration Rare) · HeartGold SoulSilver · Illustration Rare · 62/123
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
56- 17% below fair value+19 pts
- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Low active inventory+4 pts
- Price up 5% over 30 days+2 pts
- Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts
- Population growth slowing+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral59Gengar ex (Illustration Rare) (BGS 10) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+4.7%). Estimated fair value is $959 against a lowest active listing of $800. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 935.43 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 901.97 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 941.36 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.14 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.59 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,026 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 87 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,026 | PWCC | Graded | 98 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,041 | eBay | Graded | 80 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,080 | Mercari | Graded | 78 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,090 | PWCC | Graded | 78 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,099 | eBay | Graded | 92 | 8d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $1,263 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 93 | 12d ago | May 31 | View |
| $1,270 | eBay | Graded | 93 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,296 | eBay | Graded | 65 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $1,302 | Mercari | Graded | 94 | 11d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $1,310 | PWCC | Graded | 84 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $958 | Mercari | Graded | 12d ago |
| $1,003 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 15d ago |
| $946 | PWCC | Graded | 37d ago |
| $1,007 | eBay | Graded | 38d ago |
| $1,007 | eBay | Graded | 38d ago |
| $863 | PWCC | Graded | 45d ago |
| $1,148 | eBay | Graded | 54d ago |
| $1,077 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 55d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $416 | $373 | 10.4% | 5.6% | 5 | 53 |
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $425 | $350 | 17.6% | 8.6% | 14 | 42 |
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
| $669 | $546 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 6 | 59 |
Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $359 | $363 | -1.2% | 27.6% | 8 | 37 |
Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
| $723 | $667 | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4 | 49 |
Gengar ex (Special Illustration)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $256 | $217 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 9 | 44 |