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Greninja VMAX (Alt Art)

BGS 9.5Simulated

Greninja VMAX (Alt Art) · Neo Genesis · Alt Art · 97/111

Character: Greninja

high confidencebearish3230d 11.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$677
Lowest listing $710
Bear Case
$532
Base Case
$677
Bull Case
$816

Price History

Dec 2Range $551$1.1KMay 30

Opportunity Score

26
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Low active inventory+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish32

Greninja VMAX (Alt Art) (BGS 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-11.5%). Estimated fair value is $677 against a lowest active listing of $710. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-11.5% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.0%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
8
Sales / Month
17.5
Velocity Score
88/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-5.9%
Total Graded
2,479
Gem Mint
1,356
Population Growth
+5.0%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps708.150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices776.325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection617.7825%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.5250%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.1820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$512Facebook MarketplaceGraded7117d agoJan 1View
$512PWCCGraded942d agoMay 31View
$520Facebook MarketplaceGraded846d agoJan 1View
$530eBayGraded6213d agoJan 1View
$547TCGPlayerGraded8518d agoJan 1View
$561Facebook MarketplaceGraded8020d agoJan 1View
$568TCGPlayerGraded7316d agoJun 4View
$615MercariGraded9912d agoJan 1View
$646PWCCGraded746d agoJun 2View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$594eBayGraded3d ago
$575MercariGraded4d ago
$699PWCCGraded5d ago
$610TCGPlayerGraded6d ago
$690MercariGraded8d ago
$816eBayGraded12d ago
$815PWCCGraded15d ago
$779Facebook MarketplaceGraded19d ago
$864MercariGraded23d ago
$917MercariGraded27d ago
$816Facebook MarketplaceGraded33d ago
$883PWCCGraded33d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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