Greninja VMAX (Alt Art)
BGS 9.5SimulatedGreninja VMAX (Alt Art) · Neo Genesis · Alt Art · 97/111
Character: Greninja
Price History
Opportunity Score
26- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Low active inventory+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish32Greninja VMAX (Alt Art) (BGS 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-11.5%). Estimated fair value is $677 against a lowest active listing of $710. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-11.5% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.0%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 708.1 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 776.3 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 617.78 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.52 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.18 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $512 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $512 | PWCC | Graded | 94 | 2d ago | May 31 | View |
| $520 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 84 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $530 | eBay | Graded | 62 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $547 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 85 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $561 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 80 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $568 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 73 | 16d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $615 | Mercari | Graded | 99 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $646 | PWCC | Graded | 74 | 6d ago | Jun 2 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $594 | eBay | Graded | 3d ago |
| $575 | Mercari | Graded | 4d ago |
| $699 | PWCC | Graded | 5d ago |
| $610 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 6d ago |
| $690 | Mercari | Graded | 8d ago |
| $816 | eBay | Graded | 12d ago |
| $815 | PWCC | Graded | 15d ago |
| $779 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 19d ago |
| $864 | Mercari | Graded | 23d ago |
| $917 | Mercari | Graded | 27d ago |
| $816 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 33d ago |
| $883 | PWCC | Graded | 33d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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