Gengar Secret Rare
BGS 9SimulatedGengar Secret Rare · HeartGold SoulSilver · Secret Rare · 86/123
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
35- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- 6% below fair value+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Price up 10% over 30 days+4 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Population growth slowing+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish75Gengar Secret Rare (BGS 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+9.7%). Estimated fair value is $716 against a lowest active listing of $676. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+9.7% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 712.17 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 762.41 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 750.47 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.67 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.81 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $589 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 82 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $596 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 95 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $603 | PWCC | Graded | 81 | 16d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $608 | Mercari | Graded | 88 | 12d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $628 | PWCC | Graded | 96 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $661 | PWCC | Graded | 97 | 12d ago | May 31 | View |
| $669 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $709 | PWCC | Graded | 64 | 18d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $721 | eBay | Graded | 99 | 20d ago | May 31 | View |
| $722 | Mercari | Graded | 90 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $735 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 75 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $785 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 84 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $684 | eBay | Graded | 2d ago |
| $638 | eBay | Graded | 4d ago |
| $676 | PWCC | Graded | 6d ago |
| $687 | Mercari | Graded | 7d ago |
| $674 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 11d ago |
| $608 | eBay | Graded | 17d ago |
| $639 | PWCC | Graded | 18d ago |
| $639 | PWCC | Graded | 19d ago |
| $557 | Mercari | Graded | 31d ago |
| $671 | Mercari | Graded | 38d ago |
| $682 | Mercari | Graded | 40d ago |
| $642 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 41d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $393 | $332 | 15.6% | 4.9% | 15 | 46 |
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $485 | $413 | 14.8% | 11.8% | 4 | 43 |
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
| $640 | $542 | 15.3% | 10.3% | 13 | 44 |
Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $361 | $328 | 9.3% | 4.8% | 21 | 35 |
Gengar ex (Special Illustration)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $328 | $275 | 16.1% | 4.5% | 22 | 47 |
Gengar Secret RareHidden FatesCGC 9.5Simulated
| $549 | $509 | 7.2% | 15.2% | 7 | 43 |