Gengar Secret Rare
CGC 9.5SimulatedGengar Secret Rare · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · 101/163
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
45- 11% below fair value+13 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Population growth slowing+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral46Gengar Secret Rare (CGC 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.6%). Estimated fair value is $505 against a lowest active listing of $451. Valuation confidence is medium based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 485.26 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 530.66 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 448.2 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.27 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.9 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $418 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 72 | 21d ago | May 31 | View |
| $424 | PWCC | Graded | 98 | 22h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $429 | Mercari | Graded | 73 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $432 | Mercari | Graded | 65 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $433 | Mercari | Graded | 68 | 14d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $441 | PWCC | Graded | 82 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $442 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 84 | 13d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $444 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 82 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $457 | PWCC | Graded | 92 | 10d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $472 | Mercari | Graded | 71 | 18d ago | May 31 | View |
| $472 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 64 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $475 | PWCC | Graded | 73 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $454 | Mercari | Graded | 17d ago |
| $520 | eBay | Graded | 19d ago |
| $474 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 24d ago |
| $444 | PWCC | Graded | 24d ago |
| $482 | Mercari | Graded | 29d ago |
| $453 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 31d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Mewtwo Secret RareHidden FatesSimulated
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Umbreon V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
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Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $338 | $293 | 13.2% | 5.2% | 18 | 40 |