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Gyarados ex (Special Illustration)

Simulated

Gyarados ex (Special Illustration) · Jungle · Special Illustration Rare · 37/64

Character: Gyarados

high confidencebullish7430d 7.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,029
Lowest listing $90112.5% below
Bear Case
$899
Base Case
$1,029
Bull Case
$1,161

Price History

Dec 2Range $750$1.1KMay 30

Opportunity Score

44
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts
  • Strong demand (9 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish74

Gyarados ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.6%). Estimated fair value is $1029 against a lowest active listing of $901. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+7.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
21
Sales / Month
9.0
Velocity Score
45/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+7.1%
Confidence
98/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1003.2850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1059.2525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection993.6625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.4220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$1,091MercariNear Mint759d agoJan 1View
$1,136TCGPlayerNear Mint9716d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$1,058eBayNear Mint12d ago
$1,011TCGPlayerNear Mint14d ago
$1,066TCGPlayerNear Mint40d ago
$1,057eBayNear Mint40d ago
$1,149eBayNear Mint45d ago
$990eBayNear Mint47d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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