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Tyranitar Ultra Rare

Simulated

Tyranitar Ultra Rare · Prismatic Evolutions · Ultra Rare · 84/180

Character: Tyranitar

high confidencebullish9230d 16.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$140
Lowest listing $1279.4% below
Bear Case
$120
Base Case
$140
Bull Case
$161

Price History

Dec 2Range $88.86 – $151May 30

Opportunity Score

44
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • Price up 16% over 30 days+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Strong demand (9 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish92

Tyranitar Ultra Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+16.1%). Estimated fair value is $140 against a lowest active listing of $127. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+16.1% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
4
Sales / Month
9.0
Velocity Score
45/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-3.0%
Confidence
85/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps140.5350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices137.525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection146.0825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.5920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$104Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6611d agoJan 1View
$106eBayNear Mint674d agoJun 2View
$108TCGPlayerNear Mint957d agoJan 1View
$109PWCCNear Mint689d agoJan 1View
$111MercariNear Mint8014d agoJan 1View
$112MercariNear Mint7013d agoJan 1View
$114eBayNear Mint8219d agoJun 3View
$115TCGPlayerNear Mint8219d agoJan 1View
$116Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9718d agoJan 1View
$117PWCCNear Mint917d agoJan 1View
$119eBayNear Mint9116d agoJan 1View
$121PWCCNear Mint6113d agoMay 31View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$115PWCCNear Mint11d ago
$128Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint14d ago
$126MercariNear Mint14d ago
$140PWCCNear Mint23d ago
$130PWCCNear Mint25d ago
$130Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint27d ago
$122PWCCNear Mint29d ago
$143Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint31d ago
$137MercariNear Mint34d ago
$118PWCCNear Mint43d ago
$116MercariNear Mint44d ago
$125MercariNear Mint45d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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