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Dec 2Range $393 – $595May 30
Estimated Fair Value
$425
Lowest listing $37511.9% below
Bear Case
$366
Base Case
$425
Bull Case
$486
Price History
Opportunity Score
45- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- Price up 20% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish87Gyarados V (Full Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+20.3%). Estimated fair value is $425 against a lowest active listing of $375. Valuation confidence is medium based on 14-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+20.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
14
Sales / Month
3.0
Velocity Score
15/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+11.5%
Confidence
61/100
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 401.07 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 420.93 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 440 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.3 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $347 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 63 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $352 | Mercari | Near Mint | 81 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $353 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 69 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $354 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 93 | 1d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $365 | PWCC | Near Mint | 63 | 6d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $388 | Mercari | Near Mint | 71 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $392 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 88 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $398 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 88 | 20d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $404 | Mercari | Near Mint | 67 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $404 | Mercari | Near Mint | 95 | 6d ago | May 31 | View |
| $404 | Mercari | Near Mint | 61 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $415 | eBay | Near Mint | 83 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $395 | eBay | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $451 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $519 | eBay | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $474 | eBay | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $431 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 32d ago |
| $470 | eBay | Near Mint | 34d ago |
| $413 | Mercari | Near Mint | 37d ago |
| $411 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 38d ago |
| $423 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 39d ago |
| $419 | PWCC | Near Mint | 42d ago |
| $449 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 43d ago |
| $437 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 43d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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