Greninja Holo Rare
CGC 9.5SimulatedGreninja Holo Rare · XY Evolutions · Holo Rare · 91/108
Character: Greninja
Price History
Opportunity Score
42- Population growth slowing+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Price up 15% over 30 days+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Low active inventory+4 pts
- Sales accelerating+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish94Greninja Holo Rare (CGC 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+14.5%). Estimated fair value is $176 against a lowest active listing of $175. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+14.5% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 164.65 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 193.17 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 173.32 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.29 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.31 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $204 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 6h ago |
| $198 | eBay | Graded | 5d ago |
| $192 | eBay | Graded | 15d ago |
| $204 | Mercari | Graded | 19d ago |
| $206 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 20d ago |
| $198 | PWCC | Graded | 22d ago |
| $197 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 24d ago |
| $217 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 34d ago |
| $217 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 37d ago |
| $196 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 39d ago |
| $190 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 45d ago |
| $180 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 46d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $702 | $573 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 7 | 56 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $266 | $236 | 11.3% | 2.5% | 21 | 42 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $1,083 | $1,006 | 7.1% | 25.4% | 19 | 50 |
Charizard VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,105 | $1,064 | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4 | 39 |
Charizard ex (Special Illustration)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $607 | $529 | 12.8% | 3.3% | 14 | 42 |
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsPSA 9.5Simulated
| $1,202 | $1,104 | 8.1% | 2.6% | 2 | 44 |