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Gengar Promo

Simulated

Gengar Promo · Neo Genesis · Promo · 107/111

Character: Gengar

high confidencebullish9130d 21.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$463
Lowest listing $40312.9% below
Bear Case
$398
Base Case
$463
Bull Case
$532

Price History

Dec 2Range $399 – $535May 30

Opportunity Score

48
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Price up 21% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish91

Gengar Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+21.3%). Estimated fair value is $463 against a lowest active listing of $403. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+21.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
22
Sales / Month
7.5
Velocity Score
38/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+13.2%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps421.9150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices468.725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection489.925%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.6420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$353eBayNear Mint9116d agoJan 1View
$354PWCCNear Mint7415d agoJan 1View
$365PWCCNear Mint617d agoJan 1View
$373eBayNear Mint832d agoJan 1View
$382TCGPlayerNear Mint9121h agoJan 1View
$385eBayNear Mint8016d agoJan 1View
$385Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8610d agoJan 1View
$387PWCCNear Mint642d agoJan 1View
$396eBayNear Mint7321d agoJan 1View
$399PWCCNear Mint9516d agoJan 1View
$400Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint817d agoJan 1View
$402TCGPlayerNear Mint634d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$372PWCCNear Mint44m ago
$429Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint3d ago
$405eBayNear Mint4d ago
$458eBayNear Mint10d ago
$422PWCCNear Mint14d ago
$403TCGPlayerNear Mint14d ago
$462Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint16d ago
$478PWCCNear Mint17d ago
$449MercariNear Mint17d ago
$498PWCCNear Mint20d ago
$460PWCCNear Mint23d ago
$486Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint25d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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