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Espeon Holo Rare

Simulated

Espeon Holo Rare · Fossil · Holo Rare · 19/62

Character: Espeon

high confidenceneutral5330d 3.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$474
Lowest listing $42310.9% below
Bear Case
$413
Base Case
$474
Bull Case
$535

Price History

Dec 2Range $302 – $543May 30

Opportunity Score

48
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral53

Espeon Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-3.4%). Estimated fair value is $474 against a lowest active listing of $423. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
3
Sales / Month
13.5
Velocity Score
68/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+12.6%
Confidence
84/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps462.4850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices465.5225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection459.3225%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.5120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$413MercariNear Mint7815d agoJan 1View
$413Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint672d agoJan 1View
$417PWCCNear Mint658d agoJan 1View
$432MercariNear Mint7911d agoJan 1View
$440MercariNear Mint9814d agoJan 1View
$446Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint827d agoJan 1View
$458MercariNear Mint7319d agoJan 1View
$461MercariNear Mint9121d agoJan 1View
$514eBayNear Mint8423h agoJan 1View
$519MercariNear Mint963d agoJan 1View
$521PWCCNear Mint6210d agoJun 4View
$531TCGPlayerNear Mint7916d agoJun 3View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$455MercariNear Mint2d ago
$463PWCCNear Mint3d ago
$490PWCCNear Mint6d ago
$494eBayNear Mint7d ago
$484TCGPlayerNear Mint8d ago
$407TCGPlayerNear Mint9d ago
$437MercariNear Mint10d ago
$369eBayNear Mint15d ago
$369MercariNear Mint16d ago
$326PWCCNear Mint17d ago
$337MercariNear Mint22d ago
$379Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint23d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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