Blastoise Secret Rare
CGC 9SimulatedBlastoise Secret Rare · Neo Genesis · Secret Rare · 95/111
Character: Blastoise
Price History
Opportunity Score
50- 16% below fair value+18 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish23Blastoise Secret Rare (CGC 9) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-20.0%). Estimated fair value is $957 against a lowest active listing of $807. Valuation confidence is high based on 14-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-20.0% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 994.17 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 936.5 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 899.95 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.1 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.23 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $637 | eBay | Graded | 100 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $638 | eBay | Graded | 69 | 4d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $654 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 73 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $657 | Mercari | Graded | 85 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $676 | eBay | Graded | 63 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $679 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 96 | 16d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $692 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 79 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $705 | eBay | Graded | 89 | 15d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $729 | eBay | Graded | 90 | 9d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $743 | eBay | Graded | 64 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $748 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 64 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $763 | Mercari | Graded | 97 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $705 | PWCC | Graded | 5h ago |
| $666 | eBay | Graded | 2d ago |
| $720 | Mercari | Graded | 3d ago |
| $699 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 4d ago |
| $786 | Mercari | Graded | 6d ago |
| $719 | Mercari | Graded | 6d ago |
| $696 | eBay | Graded | 8d ago |
| $718 | eBay | Graded | 9d ago |
| $745 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 9d ago |
| $820 | eBay | Graded | 16d ago |
| $782 | PWCC | Graded | 17d ago |
| $747 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 18d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
| $1,337 | $1,071 | 19.8% | 31.4% | 13 | 53 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,548 | $1,385 | 10.6% | 13.6% | 22 | 51 |
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,010 | $831 | 17.7% | 17.7% | 18 | 46 |
Rayquaza PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
| $535 | $445 | 16.8% | 21.8% | 14 | 52 |
Blastoise ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $468 | $456 | 2.6% | 27.3% | 23 | 30 |
Blastoise PromoEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $229 | $208 | 9.1% | 19.2% | 13 | 52 |